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Washington, OR · ZIP 97116 · Census Tract 41067033500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$509K
Downside (P10)
$427K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$576K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$757K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $315K | $338K | $371K | $381K | $398K | $421K | $409K | $473K | $483K | $508K | $509K | $538K | $560K | $576K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$193,864 | -$171,764 | -$138,164 | -$128,064 | -$111,264 | -$88,064 | -$100,764 | -$36,164 | -$26,564 | -$1,164 | +$28,486 | +$51,202 | +$66,755 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.1% | -33.7% | -27.1% | -25.1% | -21.8% | -17.3% | -19.8% | -7.1% | -5.2% | -0.2% | +5.6% | +10.1% | +13.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $450K | $434K | $427K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $644K | $695K | $757K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$450K to $644K
36.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$427K to $757K
57.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coast Range | $509K | $576K | +13.2% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 032409) | $504K | $627K | +24.3% | |
| Beaverton-Hillsboro | $504K | $593K | +17.6% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 032606) | $502K | $562K | +12.0% | |
| Aloha (Tract 031612) | $496K | $555K | +11.8% | |
| Aloha (Tract 031705) | $506K | $520K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coast Range | $509K | $576K | +13.2% | |
| Hillsboro | $504K | $627K | +24.3% | |
| Cedar Hills | $563K | $670K | +19.0% | |
| Beaverton-Hillsboro (Tract 032111) | $666K | $785K | +17.8% | |
| Beaverton-Hillsboro (Tract 031403) | $504K | $593K | +17.6% | |
| Tigard | $576K | $676K | +17.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coast Range | $509K | $576K | $330K | |
| Beaverton (Tract 031623) | $426K | $467K | $214K | |
| Beaverton (Tract 031011) | $374K | $421K | $206K | |
| Beaverton-Hillsboro | $424K | $438K | $203K | |
| Hillsboro | $363K | $381K | $189K | |
| Forest Grove-Cornelius | $82K | $89K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Washington, OR · ZIP 97116 · Census Tract 41067033500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$509K
Downside (P10)
$427K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$576K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$757K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $315K | $338K | $371K | $381K | $398K | $421K | $409K | $473K | $483K | $508K | $509K | $538K | $560K | $576K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$193,864 | -$171,764 | -$138,164 | -$128,064 | -$111,264 | -$88,064 | -$100,764 | -$36,164 | -$26,564 | -$1,164 | +$28,486 | +$51,202 | +$66,755 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.1% | -33.7% | -27.1% | -25.1% | -21.8% | -17.3% | -19.8% | -7.1% | -5.2% | -0.2% | +5.6% | +10.1% | +13.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $450K | $434K | $427K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $644K | $695K | $757K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$450K to $644K
36.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$427K to $757K
57.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coast Range | $509K | $576K | +13.2% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 032409) | $504K | $627K | +24.3% | |
| Beaverton-Hillsboro | $504K | $593K | +17.6% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 032606) | $502K | $562K | +12.0% | |
| Aloha (Tract 031612) | $496K | $555K | +11.8% | |
| Aloha (Tract 031705) | $506K | $520K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coast Range | $509K | $576K | +13.2% | |
| Hillsboro | $504K | $627K | +24.3% | |
| Cedar Hills | $563K | $670K | +19.0% | |
| Beaverton-Hillsboro (Tract 032111) | $666K | $785K | +17.8% | |
| Beaverton-Hillsboro (Tract 031403) | $504K | $593K | +17.6% | |
| Tigard | $576K | $676K | +17.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coast Range | $509K | $576K | $330K | |
| Beaverton (Tract 031623) | $426K | $467K | $214K | |
| Beaverton (Tract 031011) | $374K | $421K | $206K | |
| Beaverton-Hillsboro | $424K | $438K | $203K | |
| Hillsboro | $363K | $381K | $189K | |
| Forest Grove-Cornelius | $82K | $89K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
