Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Marion, OR · ZIP 97305 · Census Tract 41047001606 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$365K
Downside (P10)
$299K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$395K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$528K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $235K | $245K | $333K | $311K | $353K | $365K | $376K | $389K | $395K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$130,188 | -$119,688 | -$32,188 | -$53,788 | -$11,388 | +$11,655 | +$24,441 | +$30,569 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.7% | -32.8% | -8.8% | -14.7% | -3.1% | +3.2% | +6.7% | +8.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $325K | $312K | $299K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $439K | $460K | $528K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$325K to $439K
30.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$299K to $528K
58.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayesville | $363K | $395K | +8.9% | |
| Woodburn (Tract 010304) | $369K | $454K | +23.0% | |
| Salem (Tract 001701) | $358K | $408K | +13.9% | |
| Salem (Tract 000600) | $366K | $400K | +9.3% | |
| Salem (Tract 000702) | $364K | $398K | +9.2% | |
| Woodburn (Tract 010309) | $358K | $389K | +8.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayesville | $363K | $395K | +8.9% | |
| Marion (Tract 920005) | $223K | $304K | +36.0% | |
| Marion (Tract 200000) | $207K | $281K | +35.9% | |
| Marion (Tract 080204) | $105K | $136K | +28.8% | |
| Marion (Tract 000006) | $105K | $133K | +26.3% | |
| Marion (Tract 240002) | $107K | $134K | +26.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayesville | $363K | $395K | $229K | |
| Marion (Tract 080204) | $105K | $136K | $113K | |
| Marion (Tract 240002) | $107K | $134K | $109K | |
| Marion (Tract 000006) | $105K | $133K | $104K | |
| Marion (Tract 400004) | $128K | $160K | $100K | |
| Salem | $69K | $74K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Marion, OR · ZIP 97305 · Census Tract 41047001606 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$365K
Downside (P10)
$299K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$395K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$528K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $235K | $245K | $333K | $311K | $353K | $365K | $376K | $389K | $395K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$130,188 | -$119,688 | -$32,188 | -$53,788 | -$11,388 | +$11,655 | +$24,441 | +$30,569 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.7% | -32.8% | -8.8% | -14.7% | -3.1% | +3.2% | +6.7% | +8.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $325K | $312K | $299K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $439K | $460K | $528K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$325K to $439K
30.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$299K to $528K
58.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayesville | $363K | $395K | +8.9% | |
| Woodburn (Tract 010304) | $369K | $454K | +23.0% | |
| Salem (Tract 001701) | $358K | $408K | +13.9% | |
| Salem (Tract 000600) | $366K | $400K | +9.3% | |
| Salem (Tract 000702) | $364K | $398K | +9.2% | |
| Woodburn (Tract 010309) | $358K | $389K | +8.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayesville | $363K | $395K | +8.9% | |
| Marion (Tract 920005) | $223K | $304K | +36.0% | |
| Marion (Tract 200000) | $207K | $281K | +35.9% | |
| Marion (Tract 080204) | $105K | $136K | +28.8% | |
| Marion (Tract 000006) | $105K | $133K | +26.3% | |
| Marion (Tract 240002) | $107K | $134K | +26.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayesville | $363K | $395K | $229K | |
| Marion (Tract 080204) | $105K | $136K | $113K | |
| Marion (Tract 240002) | $107K | $134K | $109K | |
| Marion (Tract 000006) | $105K | $133K | $104K | |
| Marion (Tract 400004) | $128K | $160K | $100K | |
| Salem | $69K | $74K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
