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Malheur, OR · Census Tract 41045680101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$431K
Downside (P10)
$258K
-40% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$477K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$807K
+87% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -40% to +87%. The model forecasts this with 37% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $431K | $470K | $446K | $443K | $477K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$38,249 | +$14,971 | +$11,613 | +$45,175 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +8.9% | +3.5% | +2.7% | +10.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $315K | $267K | $262K | $258K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $655K | $705K | $723K | $807K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$315K to $655K
72.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$258K to $807K
115.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680101 | $431K | $477K | +10.5% | |
| Malheur (Tract 080002) | $334K | $475K | +42.2% | |
| Malheur (Tract 280006) | $427K | $516K | +20.7% | |
| Ontario | $316K | $343K | +8.7% | |
| Adrian area | $380K | $406K | +6.7% | |
| Vale | $304K | $308K | +1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680101 | $431K | $477K | +10.5% | |
| Malheur (Tract 240004) | $303K | $437K | +44.3% | |
| Malheur (Tract 080002) | $334K | $475K | +42.2% | |
| Malheur (Tract 280006) | $427K | $516K | +20.7% | |
| Ontario | $316K | $343K | +8.7% | |
| Adrian area | $380K | $406K | +6.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680101 | $431K | $477K | $548K | |
| Ontario (Tract 970300) | $316K | $343K | $171K | |
| Ontario (Tract 970200) | $285K | $299K | $157K | |
| Jordan Valley area | $250K | $259K | $116K | |
| Malheur Junction area | $233K | $234K | $55K | |
| Ontario (Tract 970400) | $156K | $158K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Malheur, OR · Census Tract 41045680101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$431K
Downside (P10)
$258K
-40% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$477K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$807K
+87% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -40% to +87%. The model forecasts this with 37% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $431K | $470K | $446K | $443K | $477K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$38,249 | +$14,971 | +$11,613 | +$45,175 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +8.9% | +3.5% | +2.7% | +10.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $315K | $267K | $262K | $258K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $655K | $705K | $723K | $807K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$315K to $655K
72.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$258K to $807K
115.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680101 | $431K | $477K | +10.5% | |
| Malheur (Tract 080002) | $334K | $475K | +42.2% | |
| Malheur (Tract 280006) | $427K | $516K | +20.7% | |
| Ontario | $316K | $343K | +8.7% | |
| Adrian area | $380K | $406K | +6.7% | |
| Vale | $304K | $308K | +1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680101 | $431K | $477K | +10.5% | |
| Malheur (Tract 240004) | $303K | $437K | +44.3% | |
| Malheur (Tract 080002) | $334K | $475K | +42.2% | |
| Malheur (Tract 280006) | $427K | $516K | +20.7% | |
| Ontario | $316K | $343K | +8.7% | |
| Adrian area | $380K | $406K | +6.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680101 | $431K | $477K | $548K | |
| Ontario (Tract 970300) | $316K | $343K | $171K | |
| Ontario (Tract 970200) | $285K | $299K | $157K | |
| Jordan Valley area | $250K | $259K | $116K | |
| Malheur Junction area | $233K | $234K | $55K | |
| Ontario (Tract 970400) | $156K | $158K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
