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Lane, OR · ZIP 97405 · Census Tract 41039005200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$649K
Downside (P10)
$572K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$701K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$929K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $312K | $314K | $311K | $325K | $351K | $405K | $451K | $517K | $618K | $639K | $649K | $680K | $690K | $701K |
| YoY Change | +0.4% | -0.8% | +4.6% | +7.8% | +15.5% | +11.3% | +14.6% | +19.6% | +3.4% | +1.5% | +4.9% | +1.5% | +1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $563K | $575K | $572K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $849K | $910K | $929K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$563K to $849K
42.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$572K to $929K
50.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugene · 97405 · (Tract 52) | $644K | $701K | +8.8% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 005400) | $624K | $741K | +18.8% | |
| Eugene (Tract 003700) | $638K | $733K | +14.8% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 004405) | $646K | $736K | +13.9% | |
| Eugene (Tract 004900) | $666K | $751K | +12.7% | |
| Eugene (Tract 004700) | $625K | $705K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugene · 97405 · (Tract 52) | $644K | $701K | +8.8% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 005400) | $624K | $741K | +18.8% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 002404) | $431K | $509K | +18.2% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 002800) | $407K | $480K | +17.8% | |
| Eugene | $456K | $533K | +16.8% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 002001) | $455K | $528K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eugene · 97405 · (Tract 52) | $644K | $701K | $357K | |
| Springfield | $315K | $351K | $160K | |
| Eugene-Springfield | $296K | $319K | $159K | |
| Florence | $255K | $266K | $158K | |
| Eugene | $224K | $234K | $151K | |
| Oakridge | $243K | $262K | $130K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.