What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41029002702 in Shady Cove?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $376,749 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41029002702 in Shady Cove?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $376,749 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.3%.

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Parcel 41029002702 (Shady Cove) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 41029002702, Shady Cove Home Price Forecast

Jackson, OR · ZIP 97541 · Census Tract 41029002702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$377K

Downside (P10)

$329K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$393K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$536K

+42% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$188K	$190K	$230K	$240K	$365K	$377K	$374K	$381K	$393K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$188,849	-$186,449	-$147,149	-$136,749	-$11,949		-$2,340	+$4,697	+$16,207
Growth % vs 2026	-50.1%	-49.5%	-39.1%	-36.3%	-3.2%		-0.6%	+1.2%	+4.3%
Downside (P10)							$317K	$334K	$329K
Upside (P90)							$449K	$483K	$536K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$317K to $449K

35.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$329K to $536K

52.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.3% · Spread: 53%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 41029002702, Shady Cove on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).