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Jackson, OR · ZIP 97520 · Census Tract 41029002500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$581K
Downside (P10)
$478K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$616K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$770K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $397K | $429K | $439K | $475K | $544K | $455K | $404K | $542K | $585K | $560K | $581K | $594K | $599K | $616K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$183,954 | -$151,554 | -$141,954 | -$105,754 | -$37,054 | -$125,354 | -$176,754 | -$38,254 | +$4,846 | -$21,054 | +$13,365 | +$18,614 | +$35,485 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -31.7% | -26.1% | -24.5% | -18.2% | -6.4% | -21.6% | -30.4% | -6.6% | +0.8% | -3.6% | +2.3% | +3.2% | +6.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $514K | $490K | $478K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $712K | $751K | $770K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$514K to $712K
33.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$478K to $770K
47.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Jackson | $567K | $616K | +8.6% | |
| Ashland (Tract 002200) | $642K | $735K | +14.4% | |
| Ashland (Tract 002400) | $631K | $697K | +10.4% | |
| Medford (Tract 000606) | $596K | $645K | +8.3% | |
| Medford (Tract 001304) | $577K | $621K | +7.6% | |
| Eagle Point | $632K | $651K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Jackson | $567K | $616K | +8.6% | |
| Ashland (Tract 002200) | $642K | $735K | +14.4% | |
| White City | $277K | $317K | +14.3% | |
| Ashland (Tract 001701) | $442K | $503K | +13.7% | |
| Medford | $438K | $496K | +13.3% | |
| Sams Valley | $504K | $568K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Jackson | $567K | $616K | $292K | |
| Medford (Tract 001001) | $369K | $399K | $164K | |
| Medford (Tract 000300) | $278K | $299K | $156K | |
| White City | $277K | $317K | $145K | |
| Medford (Tract 000203) | $289K | $310K | $130K | |
| Medford (Tract 000100) | $281K | $313K | $123K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Jackson, OR · ZIP 97520 · Census Tract 41029002500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$581K
Downside (P10)
$478K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$616K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$770K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $397K | $429K | $439K | $475K | $544K | $455K | $404K | $542K | $585K | $560K | $581K | $594K | $599K | $616K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$183,954 | -$151,554 | -$141,954 | -$105,754 | -$37,054 | -$125,354 | -$176,754 | -$38,254 | +$4,846 | -$21,054 | +$13,365 | +$18,614 | +$35,485 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -31.7% | -26.1% | -24.5% | -18.2% | -6.4% | -21.6% | -30.4% | -6.6% | +0.8% | -3.6% | +2.3% | +3.2% | +6.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $514K | $490K | $478K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $712K | $751K | $770K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$514K to $712K
33.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$478K to $770K
47.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Jackson | $567K | $616K | +8.6% | |
| Ashland (Tract 002200) | $642K | $735K | +14.4% | |
| Ashland (Tract 002400) | $631K | $697K | +10.4% | |
| Medford (Tract 000606) | $596K | $645K | +8.3% | |
| Medford (Tract 001304) | $577K | $621K | +7.6% | |
| Eagle Point | $632K | $651K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Jackson | $567K | $616K | +8.6% | |
| Ashland (Tract 002200) | $642K | $735K | +14.4% | |
| White City | $277K | $317K | +14.3% | |
| Ashland (Tract 001701) | $442K | $503K | +13.7% | |
| Medford | $438K | $496K | +13.3% | |
| Sams Valley | $504K | $568K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Jackson | $567K | $616K | $292K | |
| Medford (Tract 001001) | $369K | $399K | $164K | |
| Medford (Tract 000300) | $278K | $299K | $156K | |
| White City | $277K | $317K | $145K | |
| Medford (Tract 000203) | $289K | $310K | $130K | |
| Medford (Tract 000100) | $281K | $313K | $123K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
