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Jackson, OR · ZIP 97530 · Census Tract 41029002300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$824K
Downside (P10)
$737K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$916K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.17M
+41% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $419K | $433K | $447K | $471K | $532K | $563K | $583K | $668K | $700K | $790K | $824K | $835K | $889K | $916K | $820K |
| YoY Change | +3.4% | +3.3% | +5.3% | +13.0% | +5.7% | +3.6% | +14.7% | +4.7% | +12.8% | +4.3% | +1.4% | +6.4% | +3.1% | -10.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $719K | $729K | $737K | $731K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $919K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$719K to $1.05M
40.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$731K to $919K
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Jackson · Jacksonville · (Tract 23) | $814K | $916K | +12.6% | |
| Ashland (Tract 002200) | $642K | $735K | +14.4% | |
| Ashland (Tract 002000) | $674K | $758K | +12.5% | |
| Medford (Tract 000603) | $683K | $749K | +9.7% | |
| Ashland (Tract 002100) | $729K | $763K | +4.6% | |
| Medford (Tract 001500) | $694K | $700K | +0.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Jackson · Jacksonville · (Tract 23) | $814K | $916K | +12.6% | |
| Ashland (Tract 002200) | $642K | $735K | +14.4% | |
| White City | $277K | $317K | +14.3% | |
| Ashland (Tract 001701) | $442K | $503K | +13.7% | |
| Medford | $438K | $496K | +13.3% | |
| Sams Valley | $504K | $568K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Jackson · Jacksonville · (Tract 23) | $814K | $916K | $428K | |
| Medford (Tract 001001) | $369K | $399K | $164K | |
| Medford (Tract 000300) | $278K | $299K | $156K | |
| White City | $277K | $317K | $145K | |
| Medford (Tract 000203) | $289K | $310K | $130K | |
| Medford (Tract 000100) | $281K | $313K | $123K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.