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Jackson, OR · ZIP 97524 · Census Tract 41029002600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$385K
Downside (P10)
$322K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$428K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$566K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $191K | $196K | $199K | $222K | $239K | $250K | $272K | $322K | $335K | $376K | $385K | $396K | $405K | $428K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$194,590 | -$188,890 | -$186,690 | -$163,290 | -$146,390 | -$134,790 | -$112,790 | -$63,090 | -$50,690 | -$9,090 | +$11,111 | +$20,146 | +$42,485 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.5% | -49.0% | -48.5% | -42.4% | -38.0% | -35.0% | -29.3% | -16.4% | -13.2% | -2.4% | +2.9% | +5.2% | +11.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $325K | $320K | $322K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $451K | $507K | $566K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$325K to $451K
31.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$322K to $566K
57.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butte Falls-Prospect | $380K | $428K | +12.6% | |
| Medford (Tract 000501) | $377K | $421K | +11.5% | |
| Medford (Tract 000405) | $370K | $408K | +10.4% | |
| Shady Cove | $374K | $393K | +5.0% | |
| Medford (Tract 000502) | $394K | $406K | +2.9% | |
| Central Point | $400K | $411K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butte Falls-Prospect | $380K | $428K | +12.6% | |
| Ashland (Tract 002200) | $642K | $735K | +14.4% | |
| White City | $277K | $317K | +14.3% | |
| Ashland (Tract 001701) | $442K | $503K | +13.7% | |
| Medford | $438K | $496K | +13.3% | |
| Sams Valley | $504K | $568K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butte Falls-Prospect | $380K | $428K | $245K | |
| Medford (Tract 001001) | $369K | $399K | $164K | |
| Medford (Tract 000300) | $278K | $299K | $156K | |
| White City | $277K | $317K | $145K | |
| Medford (Tract 000203) | $289K | $310K | $130K | |
| Medford (Tract 000100) | $281K | $313K | $123K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Jackson, OR · ZIP 97524 · Census Tract 41029002600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$385K
Downside (P10)
$322K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$428K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$566K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $191K | $196K | $199K | $222K | $239K | $250K | $272K | $322K | $335K | $376K | $385K | $396K | $405K | $428K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$194,590 | -$188,890 | -$186,690 | -$163,290 | -$146,390 | -$134,790 | -$112,790 | -$63,090 | -$50,690 | -$9,090 | +$11,111 | +$20,146 | +$42,485 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.5% | -49.0% | -48.5% | -42.4% | -38.0% | -35.0% | -29.3% | -16.4% | -13.2% | -2.4% | +2.9% | +5.2% | +11.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $325K | $320K | $322K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $451K | $507K | $566K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$325K to $451K
31.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$322K to $566K
57.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butte Falls-Prospect | $380K | $428K | +12.6% | |
| Medford (Tract 000501) | $377K | $421K | +11.5% | |
| Medford (Tract 000405) | $370K | $408K | +10.4% | |
| Shady Cove | $374K | $393K | +5.0% | |
| Medford (Tract 000502) | $394K | $406K | +2.9% | |
| Central Point | $400K | $411K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butte Falls-Prospect | $380K | $428K | +12.6% | |
| Ashland (Tract 002200) | $642K | $735K | +14.4% | |
| White City | $277K | $317K | +14.3% | |
| Ashland (Tract 001701) | $442K | $503K | +13.7% | |
| Medford | $438K | $496K | +13.3% | |
| Sams Valley | $504K | $568K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butte Falls-Prospect | $380K | $428K | $245K | |
| Medford (Tract 001001) | $369K | $399K | $164K | |
| Medford (Tract 000300) | $278K | $299K | $156K | |
| White City | $277K | $317K | $145K | |
| Medford (Tract 000203) | $289K | $310K | $130K | |
| Medford (Tract 000100) | $281K | $313K | $123K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
