What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41023960202 in John Day?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $227,887 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41023960202 in John Day?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $227,887 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.7%.

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Parcel 41023960202 (John Day) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 41023960202, John Day Home Price Forecast

Grant, OR · ZIP 97845 · Census Tract 41023960202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$228K

Downside (P10)

$185K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$248K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$326K

+43% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$146K	$156K	$191K	$241K	$228K	$228K	$232K	$246K	$248K	$238K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$82,087	-$71,587	-$36,587	+$12,713	-$87		+$3,637	+$18,098	+$19,843	+$10,222
Growth % vs 2026	-36.0%	-31.4%	-16.1%	+5.6%	-0.0%		+1.6%	+7.9%	+8.7%	+4.5%
Downside (P10)							$188K	$186K	$185K	$211K
Upside (P90)							$276K	$320K	$326K	$268K

Forecast Confidence

87%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$188K to $276K

38.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$211K to $268K

24.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.5% · Spread: 24%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 41023960202, John Day on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).