What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41019150001 in Green?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $242,489 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41019150001 in Green?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $242,489 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.5%.

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Parcel 41019150001 (Green) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 41019150001, Green Home Price Forecast

Douglas, OR · ZIP 97471 · Census Tract 41019150001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$242K

Downside (P10)

$195K

-20% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$273K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$342K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$145K	$175K	$212K	$227K	$243K	$242K	$251K	$262K	$273K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$97,989	-$67,089	-$30,089	-$15,789	+$911		+$8,362	+$19,293	+$30,262
Growth % vs 2026	-40.4%	-27.7%	-12.4%	-6.5%	+0.4%		+3.4%	+8.0%	+12.5%
Downside (P10)							$214K	$199K	$195K
Upside (P90)							$313K	$329K	$342K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$214K to $313K

39.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$195K to $342K

54.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.5% · Spread: 54%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 41019150001, Green on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).