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Deschutes, OR · ZIP 97701 · Census Tract 41017001200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$745K
Downside (P10)
$684K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$813K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.10M
+48% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $276K | $308K | $320K | $372K | $393K | $461K | $521K | $619K | $688K | $739K | $745K | $783K | $808K | $813K |
| YoY Change | +11.6% | +4.1% | +16.1% | +5.6% | +17.4% | +13.0% | +18.8% | +11.2% | +7.4% | +0.8% | +5.1% | +3.2% | +0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $686K | $672K | $684K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $904K | $995K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$686K to $904K
27.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$684K to $1.10M
51.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bend | $748K | $813K | +8.8% | |
| Bend (Tract 002001) | $799K | $944K | +18.2% | |
| Sisters-Millican (Tract 000403) | $733K | $814K | +11.1% | |
| Bend (Tract 002103) | $714K | $789K | +10.5% | |
| Sisters-Millican (Tract 000501) | $808K | $880K | +8.8% | |
| Sisters-Millican (Tract 000502) | $684K | $714K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bend | $748K | $813K | +8.8% | |
| Bend (Tract 001702) | $599K | $718K | +19.8% | |
| Bend (Tract 002001) | $799K | $944K | +18.2% | |
| Redmond | $452K | $527K | +16.6% | |
| Bend (Tract 001602) | $678K | $784K | +15.6% | |
| Bend (Tract 002101) | $579K | $668K | +15.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bend | $748K | $813K | $420K | |
| Sisters-Millican (Tract 000301) | $484K | $555K | $258K | |
| Redmond (Tract 000902) | $429K | $462K | $232K | |
| Sisters-Millican (Tract 000201) | $378K | $411K | $225K | |
| Redmond (Tract 000901) | $405K | $413K | $208K | |
| Redmond (Tract 000701) | $445K | $467K | $193K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.