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Benton, OR · ZIP 97456 · Census Tract 41003010400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$430K
Downside (P10)
$347K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$460K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$649K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $265K | $257K | $266K | $294K | $318K | $298K | $349K | $396K | $389K | $434K | $430K | $431K | $445K | $460K | $448K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$165,581 | -$173,181 | -$164,781 | -$135,981 | -$111,981 | -$132,581 | -$81,381 | -$34,781 | -$41,481 | +$3,419 | +$247 | +$14,254 | +$29,747 | +$17,791 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.5% | -40.2% | -38.3% | -31.6% | -26.0% | -30.8% | -18.9% | -8.1% | -9.6% | +0.8% | +0.1% | +3.3% | +6.9% | +4.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $361K | $353K | $347K | $404K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $520K | $556K | $649K | $507K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$361K to $520K
36.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$404K to $507K
23.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Benton | $441K | $460K | +4.4% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 001101) | $457K | $529K | +16.0% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000101) | $425K | $478K | +12.4% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 001002) | $464K | $518K | +11.7% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 001001) | $429K | $470K | +9.7% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 010601) | $435K | $459K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Benton | $441K | $460K | +4.4% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000401) | $593K | $694K | +17.0% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 010702) | $543K | $633K | +16.6% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000500) | $609K | $709K | +16.3% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 001101) | $457K | $529K | +16.0% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000402) | $612K | $701K | +14.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Benton | $441K | $460K | $302K | |
| Southwest Benton | $489K | $527K | $244K | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000500) | $609K | $709K | $240K | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000101) | $425K | $478K | $229K | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000600) | $337K | $368K | $215K | |
| Corvallis (Tract 010800) | $380K | $408K | $193K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Benton, OR · ZIP 97456 · Census Tract 41003010400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$430K
Downside (P10)
$347K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$460K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$649K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $265K | $257K | $266K | $294K | $318K | $298K | $349K | $396K | $389K | $434K | $430K | $431K | $445K | $460K | $448K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$165,581 | -$173,181 | -$164,781 | -$135,981 | -$111,981 | -$132,581 | -$81,381 | -$34,781 | -$41,481 | +$3,419 | +$247 | +$14,254 | +$29,747 | +$17,791 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.5% | -40.2% | -38.3% | -31.6% | -26.0% | -30.8% | -18.9% | -8.1% | -9.6% | +0.8% | +0.1% | +3.3% | +6.9% | +4.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $361K | $353K | $347K | $404K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $520K | $556K | $649K | $507K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$361K to $520K
36.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$404K to $507K
23.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Benton | $441K | $460K | +4.4% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 001101) | $457K | $529K | +16.0% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000101) | $425K | $478K | +12.4% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 001002) | $464K | $518K | +11.7% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 001001) | $429K | $470K | +9.7% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 010601) | $435K | $459K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Benton | $441K | $460K | +4.4% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000401) | $593K | $694K | +17.0% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 010702) | $543K | $633K | +16.6% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000500) | $609K | $709K | +16.3% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 001101) | $457K | $529K | +16.0% | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000402) | $612K | $701K | +14.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Benton | $441K | $460K | $302K | |
| Southwest Benton | $489K | $527K | $244K | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000500) | $609K | $709K | $240K | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000101) | $425K | $478K | $229K | |
| Corvallis (Tract 000600) | $337K | $368K | $215K | |
| Corvallis (Tract 010800) | $380K | $408K | $193K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
