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Baker, OR · ZIP 97814 · Census Tract 41001950100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$440K
Downside (P10)
$385K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$472K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$701K
+59% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +59%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $210K | $204K | $190K | $207K | $239K | $237K | $265K | $334K | $416K | $422K | $440K | $444K | $455K | $472K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$229,777 | -$235,777 | -$249,877 | -$232,977 | -$200,577 | -$202,177 | -$174,577 | -$105,777 | -$24,077 | -$17,177 | +$4,534 | +$14,953 | +$32,638 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.3% | -53.6% | -56.8% | -53.0% | -45.6% | -46.0% | -39.7% | -24.1% | -5.5% | -3.9% | +1.0% | +3.4% | +7.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $383K | $383K | $385K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $529K | $614K | $701K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$383K to $529K
32.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$385K to $701K
66.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | $433K | $472K | +9.1% | |
| Baker City (Tract 950500) | $264K | $305K | +15.5% | |
| Huntington area | $221K | $237K | +7.3% | |
| Baker City (Tract 950400) | $332K | $356K | +7.2% | |
| Eagle Valley | $310K | $320K | +3.2% | |
| Baker City (Tract 950200) | $285K | $294K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | $433K | $472K | +9.1% | |
| Baker City (Tract 950500) | $264K | $305K | +15.5% | |
| Huntington area | $221K | $237K | +7.3% | |
| Baker City (Tract 950400) | $332K | $356K | +7.2% | |
| Eagle Valley | $310K | $320K | +3.2% | |
| Baker City (Tract 950200) | $285K | $294K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | $433K | $472K | $316K | |
| Baker City (Tract 950400) | $332K | $356K | $240K | |
| Baker City (Tract 950500) | $264K | $305K | $204K | |
| Baker City (Tract 950200) | $285K | $294K | $192K | |
| Eagle Valley | $310K | $320K | $150K | |
| Huntington area | $221K | $237K | $116K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Baker, OR · ZIP 97814 · Census Tract 41001950100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$440K
Downside (P10)
$385K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$472K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$701K
+59% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +59%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $210K | $204K | $190K | $207K | $239K | $237K | $265K | $334K | $416K | $422K | $440K | $444K | $455K | $472K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$229,777 | -$235,777 | -$249,877 | -$232,977 | -$200,577 | -$202,177 | -$174,577 | -$105,777 | -$24,077 | -$17,177 | +$4,534 | +$14,953 | +$32,638 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.3% | -53.6% | -56.8% | -53.0% | -45.6% | -46.0% | -39.7% | -24.1% | -5.5% | -3.9% | +1.0% | +3.4% | +7.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $383K | $383K | $385K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $529K | $614K | $701K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$383K to $529K
32.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$385K to $701K
66.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | $433K | $472K | +9.1% | |
| Baker City (Tract 950500) | $264K | $305K | +15.5% | |
| Huntington area | $221K | $237K | +7.3% | |
| Baker City (Tract 950400) | $332K | $356K | +7.2% | |
| Eagle Valley | $310K | $320K | +3.2% | |
| Baker City (Tract 950200) | $285K | $294K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | $433K | $472K | +9.1% | |
| Baker City (Tract 950500) | $264K | $305K | +15.5% | |
| Huntington area | $221K | $237K | +7.3% | |
| Baker City (Tract 950400) | $332K | $356K | +7.2% | |
| Eagle Valley | $310K | $320K | +3.2% | |
| Baker City (Tract 950200) | $285K | $294K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | $433K | $472K | $316K | |
| Baker City (Tract 950400) | $332K | $356K | $240K | |
| Baker City (Tract 950500) | $264K | $305K | $204K | |
| Baker City (Tract 950200) | $285K | $294K | $192K | |
| Eagle Valley | $310K | $320K | $150K | |
| Huntington area | $221K | $237K | $116K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
