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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Tulsa, OK · ZIP 74133 · Census Tract 40143007527 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$239K
Downside (P10)
$214K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$261K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$348K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $179K | $186K | $212K | $222K | $230K | $239K | $251K | $256K | $261K |
| YoY Change | +3.7% | +14.1% | +4.9% | +3.7% | +3.8% | +5.1% | +2.1% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $220K | $217K | $214K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $292K | $308K | $348K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$220K to $292K
28.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$214K to $348K
51.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa · 74133 · (Tract 75.27) | $237K | $261K | +10.5% | |
| Tulsa (Tract 007649) | $239K | $268K | +11.9% | |
| Broken Arrow (Tract 007535) | $240K | $253K | +5.5% | |
| Tulsa (Tract 006803) | $236K | $243K | +3.1% | |
| Broken Arrow (Tract 007529) | $238K | $242K | +1.7% | |
| Tulsa (Tract 006905) | $238K | $241K | +1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa · 74133 · (Tract 75.27) | $237K | $261K | +10.5% | |
| Tulsa (Tract 007615) | $314K | $395K | +25.6% | |
| Tulsa (Tract 001200) | $89K | $107K | +20.1% | |
| Broken Arrow | $247K | $291K | +18.1% | |
| Tulsa (Tract 006712) | $526K | $617K | +17.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa · 74133 · (Tract 75.27) | $237K | $261K | $134K | |
| Tulsa (Tract 009101) | $55K | $60K | $33K | |
| Tulsa (Tract 001300) | $59K | $69K | $31K | |
| Tulsa (Tract 000500) | $69K | $74K | $28K | |
| Tulsa (Tract 011300) | $52K | $55K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.