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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Tulsa, OK · ZIP 74012 · Census Tract 40143007518 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$300K
Downside (P10)
$245K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$314K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$413K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $214K | $216K | $213K | $225K | $221K | $222K | $228K | $256K | $273K | $292K | $300K | $308K | $320K | $314K | $307K |
| YoY Change | +0.7% | -1.3% | +5.6% | -1.8% | +0.7% | +2.6% | +12.1% | +6.9% | +6.8% | +2.9% | +2.6% | +3.7% | -2.0% | -2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $258K | $254K | $245K | $270K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $375K | $404K | $413K | $343K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$258K to $375K
38.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$270K to $343K
23.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken Arrow | $302K | $314K | +4.0% | |
| Broken Arrow | $304K | $337K | +10.8% | |
| Tulsa (Tract 007647) | $300K | $320K | +6.5% | |
| Tulsa (Tract 009015) | $302K | $321K | +6.4% | |
| Tulsa (Tract 003400) | $305K | $324K | +6.2% | |
| Tulsa (Tract 004400) | $300K | $310K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken Arrow | $302K | $314K | +4.0% | |
| Tulsa (Tract 007615) | $314K | $395K | +25.6% | |
| Tulsa (Tract 001200) | $89K | $107K | +20.1% | |
| Broken Arrow | $247K | $291K | +18.1% | |
| Tulsa (Tract 006712) | $526K | $617K | +17.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken Arrow | $302K | $314K | $168K | |
| Tulsa (Tract 009101) | $55K | $60K | $33K | |
| Tulsa (Tract 001300) | $59K | $69K | $31K | |
| Tulsa (Tract 000500) | $69K | $74K | $28K | |
| Tulsa (Tract 011300) | $52K | $55K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.