What is the home price forecast for Parcel 40125501005 in Shawnee?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $145,821 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 40125501005 in Shawnee?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $145,821 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.2%.

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Parcel 40125501005 (Shawnee) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 40125501005, Shawnee Home Price Forecast

Pottawatomie, OK · ZIP 74851 · Census Tract 40125501005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$146K

Downside (P10)

$129K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$161K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$211K

+45% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$114K	$124K	$139K	$138K	$146K	$146K	$150K	$155K	$161K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$32,121	-$22,021	-$6,421	-$7,421	+$379		+$4,200	+$8,956	+$14,862
Growth % vs 2026	-22.0%	-15.1%	-4.4%	-5.1%	+0.3%		+2.9%	+6.1%	+10.2%
Downside (P10)							$127K	$130K	$129K
Upside (P90)							$183K	$199K	$211K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$127K to $183K

37.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$129K to $211K

51.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.2% · Spread: 51%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 40125501005, Shawnee on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).