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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Ottawa, OK · ZIP 74354 · Census Tract 40115574600 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$167K
Downside (P10)
$147K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$180K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$221K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $111K | $112K | $115K | $116K | $115K | $118K | $120K | $142K | $150K | $160K | $167K | $169K | $178K | $180K |
| YoY Change | +0.9% | +2.0% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +2.3% | +1.8% | +18.6% | +5.3% | +6.8% | +4.4% | +1.1% | +5.5% | +1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $147K | $146K | $147K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $197K | $201K | $221K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$147K to $197K
29.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$147K to $221K
41.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami · 74354 · (Tract 5746) | $163K | $180K | +10.8% | |
| Miami (Tract 574700) | $177K | $203K | +14.9% | |
| Miami (Tract 574300) | $99K | $112K | +13.4% | |
| Wyandotte | $157K | $176K | +12.0% | |
| Afton-Fairland | $162K | $179K | +10.5% | |
| Quapaw | $143K | $154K | +8.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami · 74354 · (Tract 5746) | $163K | $180K | +10.8% | |
| Miami (Tract 574700) | $177K | $203K | +14.9% | |
| Miami (Tract 574300) | $99K | $112K | +13.4% | |
| Miami (Tract 574500) | $85K | $97K | +13.2% | |
| Wyandotte | $157K | $176K | +12.0% | |
| Afton-Fairland | $162K | $179K | +10.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami · 74354 · (Tract 5746) | $163K | $180K | $74K | |
| Quapaw | $143K | $154K | $83K | |
| Miami (Tract 574300) | $99K | $112K | $63K | |
| Miami (Tract 574400) | $78K | $84K | $54K | |
| Miami (Tract 574500) | $85K | $97K | $47K | |
| Miami (Tract 574200) | $75K | $79K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.