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Oklahoma, OK · ZIP 73118 · Census Tract 40109109300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$326K
Downside (P10)
$253K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$342K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$493K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $214K | $236K | $237K | $302K | $308K | $326K | $328K | $344K | $342K |
| YoY Change | +10.2% | +0.5% | +27.4% | +2.0% | +5.9% | +0.6% | +4.7% | -0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $268K | $248K | $253K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $392K | $451K | $493K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$268K to $392K
37.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$253K to $493K
70.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $315K | $342K | +8.6% | |
| Oklahoma City Northwest | $326K | $398K | +21.9% | |
| Oklahoma City Southeast (Tract 108710) | $324K | $367K | +13.1% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 108318) | $324K | $349K | +7.9% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 108701) | $340K | $361K | +6.0% | |
| Oklahoma City Southeast (Tract 106000) | $311K | $327K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $315K | $342K | +8.6% | |
| Oklahoma City Northwest (Tract 108319) | $326K | $398K | +21.9% | |
| Oklahoma City Northwest (Tract 108227) | $430K | $515K | +19.6% | |
| Edmond | $154K | $184K | +19.5% | |
| Oklahoma City Southwest | $194K | $230K | +18.5% | |
| Oklahoma City | $109K | $128K | +18.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $315K | $342K | $241K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107303) | $64K | $70K | $28K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 105201) | $67K | $73K | $33K | |
| Midwest City | $78K | $85K | $34K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106301) | $67K | $71K | $35K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 100400) | $86K | $97K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.