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Oklahoma, OK · ZIP 73049 · Census Tract 40109108900 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$198K
Downside (P10)
$173K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$211K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$305K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $104K | $98K | $101K | $99K | $106K | $107K | $116K | $145K | $178K | $187K | $198K | $203K | $208K | $211K |
| YoY Change | -5.7% | +2.8% | -1.6% | +7.2% | +0.6% | +8.9% | +24.8% | +22.3% | +5.2% | +5.9% | +2.8% | +2.0% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $179K | $176K | $173K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $235K | $278K | $305K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$179K to $235K
27.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$173K to $305K
62.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Northeast | $193K | $211K | +9.4% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106909) | $197K | $211K | +6.9% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107404) | $199K | $212K | +6.7% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 101000) | $199K | $217K | +9.2% | |
| Midwest City | $196K | $197K | +0.9% | |
| Oklahoma City Southeast | $195K | $216K | +10.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Northeast | $193K | $211K | +9.4% | |
| Oklahoma City Northwest (Tract 108319) | $326K | $398K | +21.9% | |
| Oklahoma City Northwest (Tract 108227) | $430K | $515K | +19.6% | |
| Edmond | $154K | $184K | +19.5% | |
| Oklahoma City Southwest | $194K | $230K | +18.5% | |
| Oklahoma City | $109K | $128K | +18.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Northeast | $193K | $211K | $132K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107303) | $64K | $70K | $28K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 105201) | $67K | $73K | $33K | |
| Midwest City | $78K | $85K | $34K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106301) | $67K | $71K | $35K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 100400) | $86K | $97K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.