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Oklahoma, OK · ZIP 73119 · Census Tract 40109107104 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$96K
Downside (P10)
$79K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$102K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$131K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $67K | $69K | $67K | $69K | $73K | $49K | $70K | $82K | $83K | $93K | $96K | $97K | $101K | $102K | $97K |
| YoY Change | +2.7% | -2.9% | +3.0% | +5.5% | -32.2% | +42.7% | +16.4% | +1.6% | +12.4% | +3.4% | +0.5% | +3.7% | +1.0% | -4.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $79K | $81K | $79K | $85K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $111K | $124K | $131K | $110K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$79K to $111K
33.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$85K to $110K
25.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $94K | $102K | +8.2% | |
| Midwest City (Tract 108008) | $94K | $109K | +15.8% | |
| Midwest City (Tract 107605) | $94K | $103K | +9.6% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 100500) | $97K | $104K | +6.9% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107223) | $98K | $102K | +3.7% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 105400) | $96K | $98K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $94K | $102K | +8.2% | |
| Oklahoma City Northwest (Tract 108319) | $326K | $398K | +21.9% | |
| Oklahoma City Northwest (Tract 108227) | $430K | $515K | +19.6% | |
| Edmond | $154K | $184K | +19.5% | |
| Oklahoma City Southwest | $194K | $230K | +18.5% | |
| Oklahoma City | $109K | $128K | +18.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $94K | $102K | $52K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 100400) | $86K | $97K | $35K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106301) | $67K | $71K | $35K | |
| Midwest City | $78K | $85K | $34K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 105201) | $67K | $73K | $33K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107303) | $64K | $70K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.