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Oklahoma, OK · ZIP 73116 · Census Tract 40109106401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.07M
Downside (P10)
$939K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.18M
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.64M
+54% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $653K | $631K | $671K | $654K | $730K | $696K | $768K | $922K | $991K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$414,718 | -$436,318 | -$396,418 | -$412,918 | -$337,418 | -$371,018 | -$299,318 | -$145,018 | -$76,318 | -$36,018 | +$10,824 | +$66,599 | +$114,795 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.9% | -40.9% | -37.1% | -38.7% | -31.6% | -34.8% | -28.0% | -13.6% | -7.2% | -3.4% | +1.0% | +6.2% | +10.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $922K | $941K | $939K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.6M | $1.6M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$922K to $1.3M
36.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$939K to $1.6M
59.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nichols Hills | $1.06M | $1.18M | +11.6% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 108101) | $706K | $784K | +11.0% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 101800) | $430K | $474K | +10.3% | |
| Edmond (Tract 108106) | $423K | $451K | +6.7% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 103200) | $488K | $510K | +4.5% | |
| Edmond (Tract 108107) | $469K | $481K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nichols Hills | $1.06M | $1.18M | +11.6% | |
| Oklahoma City Southwest | $194K | $230K | +18.5% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106708) | $283K | $331K | +17.1% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 102200) | $100K | $116K | +16.5% | |
| Midwest City | $94K | $109K | +15.8% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107002) | $86K | $100K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nichols Hills | $1.06M | $1.18M | $699K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 100400) | $86K | $97K | $35K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106301) | $67K | $71K | $35K | |
| Midwest City | $78K | $85K | $34K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 105201) | $67K | $73K | $33K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107303) | $64K | $70K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Oklahoma, OK · ZIP 73116 · Census Tract 40109106401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.07M
Downside (P10)
$939K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.18M
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.64M
+54% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $653K | $631K | $671K | $654K | $730K | $696K | $768K | $922K | $991K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$414,718 | -$436,318 | -$396,418 | -$412,918 | -$337,418 | -$371,018 | -$299,318 | -$145,018 | -$76,318 | -$36,018 | +$10,824 | +$66,599 | +$114,795 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.9% | -40.9% | -37.1% | -38.7% | -31.6% | -34.8% | -28.0% | -13.6% | -7.2% | -3.4% | +1.0% | +6.2% | +10.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $922K | $941K | $939K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.6M | $1.6M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$922K to $1.3M
36.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$939K to $1.6M
59.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nichols Hills | $1.06M | $1.18M | +11.6% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 108101) | $706K | $784K | +11.0% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 101800) | $430K | $474K | +10.3% | |
| Edmond (Tract 108106) | $423K | $451K | +6.7% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 103200) | $488K | $510K | +4.5% | |
| Edmond (Tract 108107) | $469K | $481K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nichols Hills | $1.06M | $1.18M | +11.6% | |
| Oklahoma City Southwest | $194K | $230K | +18.5% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106708) | $283K | $331K | +17.1% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 102200) | $100K | $116K | +16.5% | |
| Midwest City | $94K | $109K | +15.8% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107002) | $86K | $100K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nichols Hills | $1.06M | $1.18M | $699K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 100400) | $86K | $97K | $35K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106301) | $67K | $71K | $35K | |
| Midwest City | $78K | $85K | $34K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 105201) | $67K | $73K | $33K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107303) | $64K | $70K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
