What is the home price forecast for Parcel 40089098501 in Broken Bow · 74728 · (Tract 985.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $124,576 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 40089098501 in Broken Bow · 74728 · (Tract 985.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $124,576 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.3%.

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Parcel 40089098501 (Broken Bow) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 40089098501, Broken Bow · 74728 · (Tract 985.1) Home Price Forecast

McCurtain, OK · ZIP 74728 · Census Tract 40089098501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$125K

Downside (P10)

$105K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$132K

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$173K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$86K	$96K	$111K	$113K	$118K	$125K	$128K	$131K	$132K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$38,676	-$28,276	-$13,976	-$11,576	-$6,776		+$3,165	+$6,657	+$7,893
Growth % vs 2026	-31.0%	-22.7%	-11.2%	-9.3%	-5.4%		+2.5%	+5.3%	+6.3%
Downside (P10)							$106K	$107K	$105K
Upside (P90)							$143K	$163K	$173K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$106K to $143K

29.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$105K to $173K

51.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.3% · Spread: 52%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 40089098501, Broken Bow · 74728 · (Tract 985.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).