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Mayes, OK · ZIP 74361 · Census Tract 40097040100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$160K
Downside (P10)
$141K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$173K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$214K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $91K | $95K | $96K | $100K | $92K | $94K | $95K | $119K | $133K | $152K | $160K | $163K | $171K | $173K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$69,397 | -$65,397 | -$64,397 | -$59,497 | -$67,697 | -$65,897 | -$64,597 | -$40,497 | -$26,797 | -$8,397 | +$2,635 | +$11,555 | +$12,888 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.4% | -40.9% | -40.3% | -37.2% | -42.3% | -41.2% | -40.4% | -25.3% | -16.8% | -5.3% | +1.6% | +7.2% | +8.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $143K | $144K | $141K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $186K | $201K | $214K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$143K to $186K
26.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$141K to $214K
42.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryor Creek · Pryor · (Tract 401) | $156K | $173K | +10.7% | |
| East Mayes (Tract 040600) | $123K | $141K | +14.2% | |
| Pryor Creek | $183K | $209K | +14.0% | |
| Locust Grove (Tract 040501) | $140K | $153K | +9.6% | |
| Locust Grove (Tract 040502) | $191K | $204K | +6.6% | |
| East Mayes (Tract 040700) | $149K | $152K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryor Creek · Pryor · (Tract 401) | $156K | $173K | +10.7% | |
| Adair | $230K | $270K | +17.4% | |
| East Mayes | $123K | $141K | +14.2% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040200) | $183K | $209K | +14.0% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040300) | $288K | $323K | +11.8% | |
| Locust Grove | $140K | $153K | +9.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryor Creek · Pryor · (Tract 401) | $156K | $173K | $73K | |
| Locust Grove (Tract 040502) | $191K | $204K | $107K | |
| Pryor Creek | $196K | $211K | $100K | |
| Locust Grove (Tract 040501) | $140K | $153K | $79K | |
| East Mayes (Tract 040700) | $149K | $152K | $79K | |
| East Mayes (Tract 040600) | $123K | $141K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Mayes, OK · ZIP 74361 · Census Tract 40097040100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$160K
Downside (P10)
$141K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$173K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$214K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $91K | $95K | $96K | $100K | $92K | $94K | $95K | $119K | $133K | $152K | $160K | $163K | $171K | $173K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$69,397 | -$65,397 | -$64,397 | -$59,497 | -$67,697 | -$65,897 | -$64,597 | -$40,497 | -$26,797 | -$8,397 | +$2,635 | +$11,555 | +$12,888 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.4% | -40.9% | -40.3% | -37.2% | -42.3% | -41.2% | -40.4% | -25.3% | -16.8% | -5.3% | +1.6% | +7.2% | +8.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $143K | $144K | $141K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $186K | $201K | $214K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$143K to $186K
26.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$141K to $214K
42.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryor Creek · Pryor · (Tract 401) | $156K | $173K | +10.7% | |
| East Mayes (Tract 040600) | $123K | $141K | +14.2% | |
| Pryor Creek | $183K | $209K | +14.0% | |
| Locust Grove (Tract 040501) | $140K | $153K | +9.6% | |
| Locust Grove (Tract 040502) | $191K | $204K | +6.6% | |
| East Mayes (Tract 040700) | $149K | $152K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryor Creek · Pryor · (Tract 401) | $156K | $173K | +10.7% | |
| Adair | $230K | $270K | +17.4% | |
| East Mayes | $123K | $141K | +14.2% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040200) | $183K | $209K | +14.0% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040300) | $288K | $323K | +11.8% | |
| Locust Grove | $140K | $153K | +9.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryor Creek · Pryor · (Tract 401) | $156K | $173K | $73K | |
| Locust Grove (Tract 040502) | $191K | $204K | $107K | |
| Pryor Creek | $196K | $211K | $100K | |
| Locust Grove (Tract 040501) | $140K | $153K | $79K | |
| East Mayes (Tract 040700) | $149K | $152K | $79K | |
| East Mayes (Tract 040600) | $123K | $141K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
