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Mayes, OK · ZIP 74330 · Census Tract 40097040802 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$241K
Downside (P10)
$205K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$270K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$348K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $136K | $181K | $220K | $215K | $225K | $241K | $245K | $264K | $270K | $231K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$104,951 | -$60,451 | -$21,651 | -$26,451 | -$16,451 | +$3,683 | +$22,882 | +$28,364 | -$10,204 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.5% | -25.1% | -9.0% | -11.0% | -6.8% | +1.5% | +9.5% | +11.8% | -4.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $196K | $200K | $205K | $205K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $279K | $322K | $348K | $261K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$196K to $279K
34.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$205K to $261K
24.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adair · 74330 · (Tract 408.2) | $230K | $270K | +17.4% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040200) | $183K | $209K | +14.0% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040300) | $288K | $323K | +11.8% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040400) | $196K | $211K | +7.6% | |
| Locust Grove | $191K | $204K | +6.6% | |
| Adair | $223K | $235K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adair · 74330 · (Tract 408.2) | $230K | $270K | +17.4% | |
| East Mayes | $123K | $141K | +14.2% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040200) | $183K | $209K | +14.0% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040300) | $288K | $323K | +11.8% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040100) | $156K | $173K | +10.7% | |
| Locust Grove | $140K | $153K | +9.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adair · 74330 · (Tract 408.2) | $230K | $270K | $144K | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040400) | $196K | $211K | $100K | |
| Locust Grove | $140K | $153K | $79K | |
| East Mayes (Tract 040700) | $149K | $152K | $79K | |
| East Mayes (Tract 040600) | $123K | $141K | $75K | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040100) | $156K | $173K | $73K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Mayes, OK · ZIP 74330 · Census Tract 40097040802 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$241K
Downside (P10)
$205K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$270K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$348K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $136K | $181K | $220K | $215K | $225K | $241K | $245K | $264K | $270K | $231K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$104,951 | -$60,451 | -$21,651 | -$26,451 | -$16,451 | +$3,683 | +$22,882 | +$28,364 | -$10,204 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.5% | -25.1% | -9.0% | -11.0% | -6.8% | +1.5% | +9.5% | +11.8% | -4.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $196K | $200K | $205K | $205K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $279K | $322K | $348K | $261K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$196K to $279K
34.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$205K to $261K
24.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adair · 74330 · (Tract 408.2) | $230K | $270K | +17.4% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040200) | $183K | $209K | +14.0% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040300) | $288K | $323K | +11.8% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040400) | $196K | $211K | +7.6% | |
| Locust Grove | $191K | $204K | +6.6% | |
| Adair | $223K | $235K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adair · 74330 · (Tract 408.2) | $230K | $270K | +17.4% | |
| East Mayes | $123K | $141K | +14.2% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040200) | $183K | $209K | +14.0% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040300) | $288K | $323K | +11.8% | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040100) | $156K | $173K | +10.7% | |
| Locust Grove | $140K | $153K | +9.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adair · 74330 · (Tract 408.2) | $230K | $270K | $144K | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040400) | $196K | $211K | $100K | |
| Locust Grove | $140K | $153K | $79K | |
| East Mayes (Tract 040700) | $149K | $152K | $79K | |
| East Mayes (Tract 040600) | $123K | $141K | $75K | |
| Pryor Creek (Tract 040100) | $156K | $173K | $73K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
