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Logan, OK · ZIP 73028 · Census Tract 40083600700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$129K
Downside (P10)
$106K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$134K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$172K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $87K | $86K | $87K | $89K | $99K | $111K | $109K | $126K | $130K | $127K | $129K | $128K | $134K | $134K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$41,639 | -$42,639 | -$41,939 | -$39,939 | -$29,939 | -$17,839 | -$19,639 | -$3,039 | +$561 | -$1,639 | -$661 | +$4,871 | +$5,136 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.3% | -33.0% | -32.5% | -31.0% | -23.2% | -13.8% | -15.2% | -2.4% | +0.4% | -1.3% | -0.5% | +3.8% | +4.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $112K | $112K | $106K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $147K | $158K | $172K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$112K to $147K
27.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$106K to $172K
49.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crescent area | $129K | $134K | +4.4% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 601000) | $123K | $136K | +10.5% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600200) | $138K | $149K | +7.9% | |
| East Logan | $149K | $159K | +7.2% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600101) | $207K | $219K | +6.0% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600300) | $210K | $220K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crescent area | $129K | $134K | +4.4% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 601000) | $123K | $136K | +10.5% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600402) | $358K | $395K | +10.3% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600501) | $266K | $289K | +9.0% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600200) | $138K | $149K | +7.9% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600401) | $281K | $302K | +7.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crescent area | $129K | $134K | $66K | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600501) | $266K | $289K | $120K | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600101) | $207K | $219K | $117K | |
| East Logan | $149K | $159K | $75K | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600200) | $138K | $149K | $62K | |
| Guthrie (Tract 601000) | $123K | $136K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Logan, OK · ZIP 73028 · Census Tract 40083600700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$129K
Downside (P10)
$106K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$134K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$172K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $87K | $86K | $87K | $89K | $99K | $111K | $109K | $126K | $130K | $127K | $129K | $128K | $134K | $134K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$41,639 | -$42,639 | -$41,939 | -$39,939 | -$29,939 | -$17,839 | -$19,639 | -$3,039 | +$561 | -$1,639 | -$661 | +$4,871 | +$5,136 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.3% | -33.0% | -32.5% | -31.0% | -23.2% | -13.8% | -15.2% | -2.4% | +0.4% | -1.3% | -0.5% | +3.8% | +4.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $112K | $112K | $106K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $147K | $158K | $172K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$112K to $147K
27.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$106K to $172K
49.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crescent area | $129K | $134K | +4.4% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 601000) | $123K | $136K | +10.5% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600200) | $138K | $149K | +7.9% | |
| East Logan | $149K | $159K | +7.2% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600101) | $207K | $219K | +6.0% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600300) | $210K | $220K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crescent area | $129K | $134K | +4.4% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 601000) | $123K | $136K | +10.5% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600402) | $358K | $395K | +10.3% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600501) | $266K | $289K | +9.0% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600200) | $138K | $149K | +7.9% | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600401) | $281K | $302K | +7.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crescent area | $129K | $134K | $66K | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600501) | $266K | $289K | $120K | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600101) | $207K | $219K | $117K | |
| East Logan | $149K | $159K | $75K | |
| Guthrie (Tract 600200) | $138K | $149K | $62K | |
| Guthrie (Tract 601000) | $123K | $136K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
