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Creek, OK · ZIP 74039 · Census Tract 40037021102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$168K
Downside (P10)
$144K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$182K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$241K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $85K | $87K | $88K | $90K | $107K | $116K | $119K | $125K | $138K | $158K | $168K | $174K | $183K | $182K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$82,601 | -$80,801 | -$79,901 | -$77,701 | -$60,801 | -$52,001 | -$48,901 | -$42,701 | -$29,201 | -$9,301 | +$6,199 | +$15,278 | +$14,925 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.3% | -48.2% | -47.7% | -46.4% | -36.3% | -31.0% | -29.2% | -25.5% | -17.4% | -5.6% | +3.7% | +9.1% | +8.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $148K | $153K | $144K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $204K | $221K | $241K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$148K to $204K
32.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$144K to $241K
53.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellyville-Slick | $163K | $182K | +11.8% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 021402) | $155K | $173K | +11.2% | |
| Keystone Lake | $167K | $184K | +10.2% | |
| Shamrock-Heyburn Lake | $190K | $209K | +10.1% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020603) | $168K | $184K | +9.8% | |
| Bristow South | $182K | $199K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellyville-Slick | $163K | $182K | +11.8% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020102) | $55K | $65K | +17.0% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 021600) | $215K | $248K | +15.4% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 021500) | $232K | $265K | +14.0% | |
| Keystone Lake | $197K | $223K | +13.0% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020101) | $197K | $221K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellyville-Slick | $163K | $182K | $97K | |
| Bristow | $132K | $143K | $80K | |
| Bristow South | $182K | $199K | $79K | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020602) | $124K | $129K | $78K | |
| Drumright | $89K | $90K | $44K | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020102) | $55K | $65K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Creek, OK · ZIP 74039 · Census Tract 40037021102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$168K
Downside (P10)
$144K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$182K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$241K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $85K | $87K | $88K | $90K | $107K | $116K | $119K | $125K | $138K | $158K | $168K | $174K | $183K | $182K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$82,601 | -$80,801 | -$79,901 | -$77,701 | -$60,801 | -$52,001 | -$48,901 | -$42,701 | -$29,201 | -$9,301 | +$6,199 | +$15,278 | +$14,925 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.3% | -48.2% | -47.7% | -46.4% | -36.3% | -31.0% | -29.2% | -25.5% | -17.4% | -5.6% | +3.7% | +9.1% | +8.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $148K | $153K | $144K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $204K | $221K | $241K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$148K to $204K
32.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$144K to $241K
53.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellyville-Slick | $163K | $182K | +11.8% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 021402) | $155K | $173K | +11.2% | |
| Keystone Lake | $167K | $184K | +10.2% | |
| Shamrock-Heyburn Lake | $190K | $209K | +10.1% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020603) | $168K | $184K | +9.8% | |
| Bristow South | $182K | $199K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellyville-Slick | $163K | $182K | +11.8% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020102) | $55K | $65K | +17.0% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 021600) | $215K | $248K | +15.4% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 021500) | $232K | $265K | +14.0% | |
| Keystone Lake | $197K | $223K | +13.0% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020101) | $197K | $221K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellyville-Slick | $163K | $182K | $97K | |
| Bristow | $132K | $143K | $80K | |
| Bristow South | $182K | $199K | $79K | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020602) | $124K | $129K | $78K | |
| Drumright | $89K | $90K | $44K | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020102) | $55K | $65K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
