Creek, OK · ZIP 74038 · Census Tract 40037020704 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$126K
Downside (P10)
$95K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$134K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$179K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +42%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Creek markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $54K | $58K | $59K | $61K | $62K | $97K | $87K | $114K | $121K | $121K | $126K | $128K | $134K | $134K |
| YoY Change | +6.5% | +2.1% | +2.9% | +2.3% | +56.4% | -10.1% | +30.5% | +6.4% | -0.1% | +4.3% | +1.7% | +4.5% | +0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $100K | $98K | $95K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $155K | $169K | $179K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The range stays consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$100K to $155K
42.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$95K to $179K
62.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keystone Lake | $122K | $134K | +10.6% | |
| Sapulpa | $55K | $65K | +17.0% | |
| Sapulpa | $215K | $248K | +15.4% | |
| Sapulpa | $232K | $265K | +14.0% | |
| Keystone Lake | $197K | $223K | +13.0% | |
| Sapulpa | $197K | $221K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keystone Lake | $122K | $134K | $84K | |
| Sapulpa | $55K | $65K | $31K | |
| Drumright | $89K | $90K | $44K | |
| Sapulpa | $124K | $129K | $78K | |
| Bristow South | $182K | $199K | $79K | |
| Bristow | $132K | $143K | $80K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.