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Comanche, OK · ZIP 73538 · Census Tract 40031002101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$270K
Downside (P10)
$208K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$291K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$409K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $182K | $197K | $232K | $240K | $259K | $270K | $278K | $290K | $291K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$88,044 | -$73,044 | -$38,144 | -$30,144 | -$11,144 | +$7,425 | +$20,031 | +$20,474 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.6% | -27.0% | -14.1% | -11.2% | -4.1% | +2.7% | +7.4% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $229K | $211K | $208K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $324K | $382K | $409K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$229K to $324K
34.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$208K to $409K
69.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Comanche | $262K | $291K | +11.0% | |
| Southeast Comanche | $241K | $278K | +15.3% | |
| Lawton (Tract 000403) | $288K | $328K | +13.8% | |
| Northwest Comanche (Tract 002201) | $313K | $341K | +9.1% | |
| Northwest Comanche (Tract 002202) | $309K | $328K | +6.3% | |
| Lawton (Tract 000600) | $227K | $235K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Comanche | $262K | $291K | +11.0% | |
| Lawton (Tract 000504) | $130K | $151K | +16.0% | |
| Southeast Comanche | $241K | $278K | +15.3% | |
| Lawton (Tract 000405) | $207K | $238K | +14.9% | |
| Lawton (Tract 000505) | $179K | $204K | +14.5% | |
| Lawton (Tract 000404) | $117K | $134K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Comanche | $262K | $291K | $201K | |
| Lawton (Tract 002500) | $70K | $77K | $41K | |
| Lawton (Tract 001400) | $67K | $71K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Comanche, OK · ZIP 73538 · Census Tract 40031002101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$270K
Downside (P10)
$208K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$291K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$409K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $182K | $197K | $232K | $240K | $259K | $270K | $278K | $290K | $291K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$88,044 | -$73,044 | -$38,144 | -$30,144 | -$11,144 | +$7,425 | +$20,031 | +$20,474 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.6% | -27.0% | -14.1% | -11.2% | -4.1% | +2.7% | +7.4% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $229K | $211K | $208K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $324K | $382K | $409K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$229K to $324K
34.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$208K to $409K
69.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Comanche | $262K | $291K | +11.0% | |
| Southeast Comanche | $241K | $278K | +15.3% | |
| Lawton (Tract 000403) | $288K | $328K | +13.8% | |
| Northwest Comanche (Tract 002201) | $313K | $341K | +9.1% | |
| Northwest Comanche (Tract 002202) | $309K | $328K | +6.3% | |
| Lawton (Tract 000600) | $227K | $235K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Comanche | $262K | $291K | +11.0% | |
| Lawton (Tract 000504) | $130K | $151K | +16.0% | |
| Southeast Comanche | $241K | $278K | +15.3% | |
| Lawton (Tract 000405) | $207K | $238K | +14.9% | |
| Lawton (Tract 000505) | $179K | $204K | +14.5% | |
| Lawton (Tract 000404) | $117K | $134K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Comanche | $262K | $291K | $201K | |
| Lawton (Tract 002500) | $70K | $77K | $41K | |
| Lawton (Tract 001400) | $67K | $71K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
