What is the home price forecast for Parcel 40031000504 in Lawton?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $134,363 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 40031000504 in Lawton?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $134,363 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.5%.

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Parcel 40031000504 (Lawton) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 40031000504, Lawton Home Price Forecast

Comanche, OK · ZIP 73505 · Census Tract 40031000504 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$134K

Downside (P10)

$119K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$151K

+13% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$215K

+60% by 2030

Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +60%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$104K	$106K	$110K	$124K	$129K	$134K	$138K	$143K	$151K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$29,963	-$28,363	-$24,563	-$10,063	-$5,463		+$3,902	+$8,704	+$16,841
Growth % vs 2026	-22.3%	-21.1%	-18.3%	-7.5%	-4.1%		+2.9%	+6.5%	+12.5%
Downside (P10)							$120K	$121K	$119K
Upside (P90)							$168K	$186K	$215K

Forecast Confidence

65%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$120K to $168K

35.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$119K to $215K

63.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.5% · Spread: 64%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 40031000504, Lawton on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).