What is the home price forecast for Parcel 40021978302 in South Cherokee?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $156,252 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 40021978302 in South Cherokee?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $156,252 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.1%.

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Parcel 40021978302 (South Cherokee) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 40021978302, South Cherokee Home Price Forecast

Cherokee, OK · ZIP 74451 · Census Tract 40021978302 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$156K

Downside (P10)

$127K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$161K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$208K

+33% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$113K	$115K	$112K	$121K	$152K	$156K	$154K	$160K	$161K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$43,752	-$41,352	-$44,452	-$35,452	-$4,252		-$2,625	+$3,424	+$4,790
Growth % vs 2026	-28.0%	-26.5%	-28.4%	-22.7%	-2.7%		-1.7%	+2.2%	+3.1%
Downside (P10)							$137K	$134K	$127K
Upside (P90)							$186K	$201K	$208K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$137K to $186K

32.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$127K to $208K

50.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.1% · Spread: 50%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 40021978302, South Cherokee on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).