What is the home price forecast for Parcel 40019893002 in Ardmore · 73401 · (Tract 8930.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $219,294 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 40019893002 in Ardmore · 73401 · (Tract 8930.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $219,294 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.2%.

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Parcel 40019893002 (Ardmore) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 40019893002, Ardmore · 73401 · (Tract 8930.2) Home Price Forecast

Carter, OK · ZIP 73401 · Census Tract 40019893002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$219K

Downside (P10)

$184K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$228K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$285K

+30% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$114K	$149K	$170K	$202K	$210K	$219K	$221K	$233K	$228K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$105,094	-$69,994	-$49,494	-$17,194	-$9,094		+$1,560	+$13,218	+$9,154
Growth % vs 2026	-47.9%	-31.9%	-22.6%	-7.8%	-4.1%		+0.7%	+6.0%	+4.2%
Downside (P10)							$196K	$192K	$184K
Upside (P90)							$264K	$263K	$285K

Forecast Confidence

76%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$196K to $264K

30.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$184K to $285K

44.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.2% · Spread: 44%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 40019893002, Ardmore · 73401 · (Tract 8930.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).