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Canadian, OK · ZIP 73064 · Census Tract 40017301408 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$415K
Downside (P10)
$340K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$442K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$560K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $188K | $174K | $214K | $228K | $303K | $318K | $328K | $343K | $410K | $415K | $424K | $440K | $442K |
| YoY Change | +8.2% | -7.3% | +22.9% | +6.8% | +32.4% | +5.1% | +3.1% | +4.7% | +19.5% | +1.3% | +2.1% | +3.7% | +0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $344K | $343K | $340K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $511K | $530K | $560K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$344K to $511K
39.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$340K to $560K
49.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $418K | $442K | +5.6% | |
| Oklahoma City | $427K | $485K | +13.6% | |
| East Canadian (Tract 301302) | $356K | $382K | +7.2% | |
| East Canadian (Tract 300805) | $326K | $336K | +3.0% | |
| El Reno | $324K | $342K | +5.5% | |
| East Canadian (Tract 300803) | $323K | $367K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $418K | $442K | +5.6% | |
| El Reno | $257K | $302K | +17.6% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 301003) | $210K | $242K | +15.3% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 301001) | $290K | $332K | +14.2% | |
| East Canadian | $323K | $367K | +13.7% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 301014) | $229K | $261K | +13.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $418K | $442K | $220K | |
| El Reno (Tract 300500) | $110K | $125K | $65K | |
| El Reno (Tract 300400) | $124K | $137K | $68K | |
| West Canadian | $169K | $180K | $74K | |
| Yukon (Tract 301202) | $199K | $215K | $84K | |
| Yukon (Tract 300902) | $172K | $175K | $86K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.