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Warren, OH · ZIP 45040 · Census Tract 39165032008 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$458K
Downside (P10)
$342K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$485K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$675K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $317K | $289K | $354K | $383K | $452K | $458K | $471K | $494K | $485K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$141,430 | -$168,630 | -$104,130 | -$75,430 | -$5,830 | +$13,263 | +$35,940 | +$27,240 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -30.9% | -36.8% | -22.7% | -16.5% | -1.3% | +2.9% | +7.8% | +5.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $385K | $358K | $342K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $539K | $618K | $675K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$385K to $539K
32.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$342K to $675K
68.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deerfield area · Mason · (Tract 320.8) | $459K | $485K | +5.7% | |
| Deerfield (Tract 032009) | $489K | $543K | +11.0% | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 030800) | $434K | $481K | +10.7% | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 030504) | $422K | $446K | +5.6% | |
| Union | $483K | $509K | +5.4% | |
| Deerfield (Tract 032004) | $425K | $425K | -0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deerfield area · Mason · (Tract 320.8) | $459K | $485K | +5.7% | |
| Deerfield | $330K | $389K | +17.7% | |
| Hamilton (Tract 032206) | $393K | $453K | +15.2% | |
| Clear Creek | $420K | $480K | +14.4% | |
| Hamilton (Tract 032205) | $327K | $371K | +13.6% | |
| Franklin | $189K | $214K | +13.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deerfield area · Mason · (Tract 320.8) | $459K | $485K | $333K | |
| Franklin (Tract 030101) | $215K | $220K | $116K | |
| Franklin (Tract 030501) | $199K | $209K | $110K | |
| Franklin (Tract 032501) | $189K | $214K | $106K | |
| Franklin (Tract 030200) | $136K | $150K | $103K | |
| Franklin (Tract 032502) | $144K | $142K | $99K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Warren, OH · ZIP 45040 · Census Tract 39165032008 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$458K
Downside (P10)
$342K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$485K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$675K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $317K | $289K | $354K | $383K | $452K | $458K | $471K | $494K | $485K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$141,430 | -$168,630 | -$104,130 | -$75,430 | -$5,830 | +$13,263 | +$35,940 | +$27,240 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -30.9% | -36.8% | -22.7% | -16.5% | -1.3% | +2.9% | +7.8% | +5.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $385K | $358K | $342K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $539K | $618K | $675K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$385K to $539K
32.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$342K to $675K
68.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deerfield area · Mason · (Tract 320.8) | $459K | $485K | +5.7% | |
| Deerfield (Tract 032009) | $489K | $543K | +11.0% | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 030800) | $434K | $481K | +10.7% | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 030504) | $422K | $446K | +5.6% | |
| Union | $483K | $509K | +5.4% | |
| Deerfield (Tract 032004) | $425K | $425K | -0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deerfield area · Mason · (Tract 320.8) | $459K | $485K | +5.7% | |
| Deerfield | $330K | $389K | +17.7% | |
| Hamilton (Tract 032206) | $393K | $453K | +15.2% | |
| Clear Creek | $420K | $480K | +14.4% | |
| Hamilton (Tract 032205) | $327K | $371K | +13.6% | |
| Franklin | $189K | $214K | +13.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deerfield area · Mason · (Tract 320.8) | $459K | $485K | $333K | |
| Franklin (Tract 030101) | $215K | $220K | $116K | |
| Franklin (Tract 030501) | $199K | $209K | $110K | |
| Franklin (Tract 032501) | $189K | $214K | $106K | |
| Franklin (Tract 030200) | $136K | $150K | $103K | |
| Franklin (Tract 032502) | $144K | $142K | $99K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
