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Tuscarawas, OH · ZIP 44622 · Census Tract 39157020500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$250K
Downside (P10)
$224K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$291K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$358K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $166K | $176K | $172K | $176K | $180K | $167K | $193K | $226K | $234K | $246K | $250K | $259K | $273K | $291K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$84,135 | -$74,535 | -$78,535 | -$74,435 | -$70,435 | -$82,635 | -$57,435 | -$23,635 | -$16,435 | -$3,935 | +$9,067 | +$23,347 | +$40,704 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.6% | -29.8% | -31.4% | -29.8% | -28.2% | -33.0% | -23.0% | -9.5% | -6.6% | -1.6% | +3.6% | +9.3% | +16.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $221K | $224K | $224K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $305K | $319K | $358K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$221K to $305K
32.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$224K to $358K
46.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar Creek area | $250K | $291K | +16.4% | |
| Lawrence | $243K | $274K | +12.6% | |
| Auburn area (Tract 021400) | $256K | $278K | +8.7% | |
| Wayne area | $223K | $243K | +8.7% | |
| Sandy area | $274K | $286K | +4.5% | |
| Auburn area (Tract 021300) | $227K | $236K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar Creek area | $250K | $291K | +16.4% | |
| Fairfield area | $202K | $247K | +22.1% | |
| Salem area | $131K | $153K | +17.0% | |
| Lawrence | $243K | $274K | +12.6% | |
| Goshen area (Tract 020900) | $199K | $223K | +12.1% | |
| Goshen area (Tract 021501) | $211K | $237K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar Creek area | $250K | $291K | $134K | |
| Mill | $131K | $146K | $73K | |
| Goshen area | $118K | $129K | $72K | |
| Warwick | $155K | $168K | $58K | |
| New Philadelphia | $110K | $118K | $56K | |
| Mill area | $106K | $110K | $55K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Tuscarawas, OH · ZIP 44622 · Census Tract 39157020500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$250K
Downside (P10)
$224K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$291K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$358K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $166K | $176K | $172K | $176K | $180K | $167K | $193K | $226K | $234K | $246K | $250K | $259K | $273K | $291K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$84,135 | -$74,535 | -$78,535 | -$74,435 | -$70,435 | -$82,635 | -$57,435 | -$23,635 | -$16,435 | -$3,935 | +$9,067 | +$23,347 | +$40,704 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.6% | -29.8% | -31.4% | -29.8% | -28.2% | -33.0% | -23.0% | -9.5% | -6.6% | -1.6% | +3.6% | +9.3% | +16.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $221K | $224K | $224K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $305K | $319K | $358K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$221K to $305K
32.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$224K to $358K
46.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar Creek area | $250K | $291K | +16.4% | |
| Lawrence | $243K | $274K | +12.6% | |
| Auburn area (Tract 021400) | $256K | $278K | +8.7% | |
| Wayne area | $223K | $243K | +8.7% | |
| Sandy area | $274K | $286K | +4.5% | |
| Auburn area (Tract 021300) | $227K | $236K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar Creek area | $250K | $291K | +16.4% | |
| Fairfield area | $202K | $247K | +22.1% | |
| Salem area | $131K | $153K | +17.0% | |
| Lawrence | $243K | $274K | +12.6% | |
| Goshen area (Tract 020900) | $199K | $223K | +12.1% | |
| Goshen area (Tract 021501) | $211K | $237K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar Creek area | $250K | $291K | $134K | |
| Mill | $131K | $146K | $73K | |
| Goshen area | $118K | $129K | $72K | |
| Warwick | $155K | $168K | $58K | |
| New Philadelphia | $110K | $118K | $56K | |
| Mill area | $106K | $110K | $55K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
