What is the home price forecast for Parcel 39151711002 in Lake · Hartville · (Tract 7110.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $314,767 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 39151711002 in Lake · Hartville · (Tract 7110.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $314,767 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.3%.

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Parcel 39151711002 (Lake) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 39151711002, Lake · Hartville · (Tract 7110.2) Home Price Forecast

Stark, OH · ZIP 44632 · Census Tract 39151711002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$315K

Downside (P10)

$246K

-22% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$344K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$454K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$229K	$285K	$281K	$288K	$300K	$315K	$322K	$338K	$344K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$85,667	-$29,967	-$33,867	-$26,467	-$15,067		+$7,251	+$23,213	+$29,313
Growth % vs 2026	-27.2%	-9.5%	-10.8%	-8.4%	-4.8%		+2.3%	+7.4%	+9.3%
Downside (P10)							$281K	$254K	$246K
Upside (P90)							$391K	$426K	$454K

Forecast Confidence

67%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$281K to $391K

34.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$246K to $454K

60.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.3% · Spread: 60%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 39151711002, Lake · Hartville · (Tract 7110.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).