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Montgomery, OH · ZIP 45414 · Census Tract 39113080500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$113K
Downside (P10)
$90K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$121K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$160K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $68K | $69K | $70K | $78K | $78K | $79K | $92K | $95K | $107K | $113K | $113K | $117K | $122K | $121K | $117K |
| YoY Change | +1.5% | +1.6% | +10.9% | +0.5% | +1.4% | +16.6% | +3.1% | +12.2% | +6.0% | -0.2% | +3.6% | +4.5% | -1.1% | -2.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $93K | $92K | $90K | $103K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $140K | $153K | $160K | $133K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$93K to $140K
40.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$103K to $133K
25.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton area | $114K | $121K | +5.9% | |
| Riverside | $122K | $140K | +14.7% | |
| Dayton (Tract 002500) | $119K | $136K | +14.4% | |
| Dayton (Tract 000600) | $117K | $127K | +8.6% | |
| Dayton (Tract 002900) | $104K | $112K | +8.0% | |
| Dayton (Tract 002600) | $110K | $118K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton area | $114K | $121K | +5.9% | |
| Shiloh | $69K | $84K | +20.9% | |
| Washington | $449K | $534K | +18.9% | |
| Kettering (Tract 021800) | $296K | $352K | +18.9% | |
| Dayton | $67K | $80K | +18.5% | |
| Kettering (Tract 021200) | $212K | $248K | +16.9% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.