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Mercer, OH · ZIP 45822 · Census Tract 39107967400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$151K
Downside (P10)
$131K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$158K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$191K
+26% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +26%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $86K | $83K | $84K | $87K | $87K | $94K | $115K | $124K | $146K | $151K | $153K | $159K | $158K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$67,147 | -$65,947 | -$68,047 | -$67,947 | -$64,747 | -$64,047 | -$57,847 | -$36,147 | -$27,047 | -$5,947 | +$1,094 | +$7,815 | +$6,721 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.3% | -43.5% | -44.9% | -44.9% | -42.8% | -42.3% | -38.2% | -23.9% | -17.9% | -3.9% | +0.7% | +5.2% | +4.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $128K | $131K | $131K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $176K | $187K | $191K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$128K to $176K
30.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$131K to $191K
38.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson · Celina · (Tract 9674) | $149K | $158K | +5.9% | |
| Hopewell area | $220K | $254K | +15.5% | |
| Dublin area | $131K | $150K | +14.0% | |
| Franklin | $170K | $185K | +8.7% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 967600) | $171K | $185K | +8.3% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 967500) | $206K | $220K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson · Celina · (Tract 9674) | $149K | $158K | +5.9% | |
| Marion area | $309K | $358K | +16.1% | |
| Hopewell area | $220K | $254K | +15.5% | |
| Dublin area | $131K | $150K | +14.0% | |
| Franklin | $170K | $185K | +8.7% | |
| Recovery area | $263K | $286K | +8.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson · Celina · (Tract 9674) | $149K | $158K | $60K | |
| Hopewell area | $220K | $254K | $139K | |
| Jefferson (Tract 967500) | $206K | $220K | $125K | |
| Jefferson (Tract 967600) | $171K | $185K | $123K | |
| Franklin | $170K | $185K | $101K | |
| Dublin area | $131K | $150K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Mercer, OH · ZIP 45822 · Census Tract 39107967400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$151K
Downside (P10)
$131K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$158K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$191K
+26% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +26%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $86K | $83K | $84K | $87K | $87K | $94K | $115K | $124K | $146K | $151K | $153K | $159K | $158K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$67,147 | -$65,947 | -$68,047 | -$67,947 | -$64,747 | -$64,047 | -$57,847 | -$36,147 | -$27,047 | -$5,947 | +$1,094 | +$7,815 | +$6,721 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.3% | -43.5% | -44.9% | -44.9% | -42.8% | -42.3% | -38.2% | -23.9% | -17.9% | -3.9% | +0.7% | +5.2% | +4.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $128K | $131K | $131K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $176K | $187K | $191K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$128K to $176K
30.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$131K to $191K
38.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson · Celina · (Tract 9674) | $149K | $158K | +5.9% | |
| Hopewell area | $220K | $254K | +15.5% | |
| Dublin area | $131K | $150K | +14.0% | |
| Franklin | $170K | $185K | +8.7% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 967600) | $171K | $185K | +8.3% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 967500) | $206K | $220K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson · Celina · (Tract 9674) | $149K | $158K | +5.9% | |
| Marion area | $309K | $358K | +16.1% | |
| Hopewell area | $220K | $254K | +15.5% | |
| Dublin area | $131K | $150K | +14.0% | |
| Franklin | $170K | $185K | +8.7% | |
| Recovery area | $263K | $286K | +8.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson · Celina · (Tract 9674) | $149K | $158K | $60K | |
| Hopewell area | $220K | $254K | $139K | |
| Jefferson (Tract 967500) | $206K | $220K | $125K | |
| Jefferson (Tract 967600) | $171K | $185K | $123K | |
| Franklin | $170K | $185K | $101K | |
| Dublin area | $131K | $150K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
