What is the home price forecast for Parcel 39095010500 in Toledo · 43620 · (Tract 105)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $46,115 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 39095010500 in Toledo · 43620 · (Tract 105)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $46,115 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.7%.

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Parcel 39095010500 (Toledo) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 39095010500, Toledo · 43620 · (Tract 105) Home Price Forecast

Lucas, OH · ZIP 43620 · Census Tract 39095010500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$46K

Downside (P10)

$40K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$49K

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$69K

+50% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$52K	$49K	$52K	$47K	$46K	$46K	$46K	$49K	$49K	$48K
Growth $ vs 2026	+$5,585	+$2,685	+$5,885	+$1,185	-$115		+$270	+$3,006	+$2,622	+$1,793
Growth % vs 2026	+12.1%	+5.8%	+12.8%	+2.6%	-0.3%		+0.6%	+6.5%	+5.7%	+3.9%
Downside (P10)							$41K	$40K	$40K	$42K
Upside (P90)							$54K	$67K	$69K	$55K

Forecast Confidence

85%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$41K to $54K

28.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$42K to $55K

26.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.9% · Spread: 27%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 39095010500, Toledo · 43620 · (Tract 105) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).