What is the home price forecast for Parcel 39095007208 in Toledo · 43614 · (Tract 72.8)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $182,721 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 39095007208 in Toledo · 43614 · (Tract 72.8)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $182,721 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.6%.

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Parcel 39095007208 (Toledo) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 39095007208, Toledo · 43614 · (Tract 72.8) Home Price Forecast

Lucas, OH · ZIP 43614 · Census Tract 39095007208 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$183K

Downside (P10)

$147K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$202K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$275K

+50% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$134K	$136K	$158K	$162K	$171K	$183K	$187K	$198K	$202K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$48,421	-$47,121	-$24,821	-$20,321	-$11,821		+$4,225	+$15,048	+$19,338
Growth % vs 2026	-26.5%	-25.8%	-13.6%	-11.1%	-6.5%		+2.3%	+8.2%	+10.6%
Downside (P10)							$151K	$152K	$147K
Upside (P90)							$229K	$251K	$275K

Forecast Confidence

65%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$151K to $229K

41.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$147K to $275K

63.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.6% · Spread: 63%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 39095007208, Toledo · 43614 · (Tract 72.8) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).