What is the home price forecast for Parcel 39095009902 in Oregon · 43616 · (Tract 99.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $229,253 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 39095009902 in Oregon · 43616 · (Tract 99.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $229,253 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.4%.

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Parcel 39095009902 (Oregon) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 39095009902, Oregon · 43616 · (Tract 99.2) Home Price Forecast

Lucas, OH · ZIP 43616 · Census Tract 39095009902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$229K

Downside (P10)

$200K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$249K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$337K

+47% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$169K	$171K	$211K	$221K	$222K	$229K	$235K	$242K	$249K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$60,453	-$58,453	-$18,653	-$8,753	-$7,753		+$5,255	+$12,845	+$19,357
Growth % vs 2026	-26.4%	-25.5%	-8.1%	-3.8%	-3.4%		+2.3%	+5.6%	+8.4%
Downside (P10)							$203K	$205K	$200K
Upside (P90)							$282K	$311K	$337K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$203K to $282K

33.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$200K to $337K

54.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.4% · Spread: 55%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 39095009902, Oregon · 43616 · (Tract 99.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).