What is the home price forecast for Parcel 39093013102 in Avon?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $458,363 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 39093013102 in Avon?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $458,363 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.0%.

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Parcel 39093013102 (Avon) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 39093013102, Avon Home Price Forecast

Lorain, OH · ZIP 44011 · Census Tract 39093013102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$458K

Downside (P10)

$410K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$504K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$631K

+38% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$339K	$351K	$392K	$419K	$441K	$458K	$472K	$495K	$504K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$119,463	-$107,663	-$66,463	-$39,763	-$17,663		+$13,439	+$36,617	+$45,948
Growth % vs 2026	-26.1%	-23.5%	-14.5%	-8.7%	-3.9%		+2.9%	+8.0%	+10.0%
Downside (P10)							$406K	$408K	$410K
Upside (P90)							$536K	$594K	$631K

Forecast Confidence

76%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$406K to $536K

27.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$410K to $631K

43.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.0% · Spread: 44%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 39093013102, Avon on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).