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Licking, OH · Census Tract 39089360004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$226K
Downside (P10)
$221K
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$351K
+55% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$580K
+156% by 2030
Base case: +55% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +156%. The model forecasts this with 44% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $226K | $279K | $295K | $314K | $351K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$52,982 | +$68,266 | +$87,328 | +$124,859 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +23.4% | +30.2% | +38.6% | +55.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $210K | $217K | $214K | $221K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $384K | $440K | $516K | $580K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$210K to $384K
62.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$221K to $580K
102.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360004 | $226K | $351K | +55.1% | |
| Newark (Tract 753301) | $212K | $237K | +11.6% | |
| Perry area | $218K | $227K | +4.3% | |
| Newark (Tract 754104) | $222K | $229K | +3.1% | |
| Newton area | $223K | $227K | +2.1% | |
| Newark (Tract 751600) | $221K | $216K | -2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360004 | $226K | $351K | +55.1% | |
| Licking (Tract 160107) | $509K | $743K | +45.9% | |
| Licking (Tract 440005) | $263K | $378K | +43.8% | |
| Licking (Tract 120008) | $347K | $482K | +38.8% | |
| Licking (Tract 680001) | $86K | $119K | +38.6% | |
| Licking (Tract 760002) | $299K | $393K | +31.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360004 | $226K | $351K | $359K | |
| Hanover area | $265K | $260K | $60K | |
| Newark (Tract 751600) | $221K | $216K | $59K | |
| Newton area | $223K | $227K | $56K | |
| Madison | $135K | $134K | $34K | |
| Newark (Tract 750700) | $101K | $101K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Licking, OH · Census Tract 39089360004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$226K
Downside (P10)
$221K
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$351K
+55% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$580K
+156% by 2030
Base case: +55% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +156%. The model forecasts this with 44% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $226K | $279K | $295K | $314K | $351K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$52,982 | +$68,266 | +$87,328 | +$124,859 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +23.4% | +30.2% | +38.6% | +55.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $210K | $217K | $214K | $221K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $384K | $440K | $516K | $580K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$210K to $384K
62.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$221K to $580K
102.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360004 | $226K | $351K | +55.1% | |
| Newark (Tract 753301) | $212K | $237K | +11.6% | |
| Perry area | $218K | $227K | +4.3% | |
| Newark (Tract 754104) | $222K | $229K | +3.1% | |
| Newton area | $223K | $227K | +2.1% | |
| Newark (Tract 751600) | $221K | $216K | -2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360004 | $226K | $351K | +55.1% | |
| Licking (Tract 160107) | $509K | $743K | +45.9% | |
| Licking (Tract 440005) | $263K | $378K | +43.8% | |
| Licking (Tract 120008) | $347K | $482K | +38.8% | |
| Licking (Tract 680001) | $86K | $119K | +38.6% | |
| Licking (Tract 760002) | $299K | $393K | +31.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360004 | $226K | $351K | $359K | |
| Hanover area | $265K | $260K | $60K | |
| Newark (Tract 751600) | $221K | $216K | $59K | |
| Newton area | $223K | $227K | $56K | |
| Madison | $135K | $134K | $34K | |
| Newark (Tract 750700) | $101K | $101K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
