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Lake, OH · Census Tract 39085480001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$391K
Downside (P10)
$332K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$468K
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$690K
+77% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +77%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $391K | $439K | $427K | $436K | $468K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$47,785 | +$36,655 | +$45,561 | +$76,773 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +12.2% | +9.4% | +11.7% | +19.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $356K | $328K | $328K | $332K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $546K | $561K | $637K | $690K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$356K to $546K
43.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$332K to $690K
76.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480001 | $391K | $468K | +19.6% | |
| Willoughby Hills | $386K | $427K | +10.7% | |
| Mentor | $353K | $375K | +6.2% | |
| Concord | $437K | $452K | +3.5% | |
| Leroy | $337K | $342K | +1.2% | |
| Kirtland | $414K | $408K | -1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480001 | $391K | $468K | +19.6% | |
| Lake (Tract 040001) | $276K | $388K | +40.5% | |
| Lake (Tract 320006) | $98K | $136K | +38.0% | |
| Lake (Tract 000009) | $64K | $88K | +37.8% | |
| Lake (Tract 400007) | $101K | $131K | +30.0% | |
| Perry | $247K | $286K | +15.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480001 | $391K | $468K | $358K | |
| Painesville (Tract 204900) | $229K | $239K | $53K | |
| Eastlake | $215K | $218K | $50K | |
| Painesville (Tract 204400) | $178K | $174K | $43K | |
| Wickliffe | $165K | $167K | $42K | |
| Mentor | $176K | $169K | $40K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lake, OH · Census Tract 39085480001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$391K
Downside (P10)
$332K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$468K
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$690K
+77% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +77%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $391K | $439K | $427K | $436K | $468K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$47,785 | +$36,655 | +$45,561 | +$76,773 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +12.2% | +9.4% | +11.7% | +19.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $356K | $328K | $328K | $332K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $546K | $561K | $637K | $690K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$356K to $546K
43.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$332K to $690K
76.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480001 | $391K | $468K | +19.6% | |
| Willoughby Hills | $386K | $427K | +10.7% | |
| Mentor | $353K | $375K | +6.2% | |
| Concord | $437K | $452K | +3.5% | |
| Leroy | $337K | $342K | +1.2% | |
| Kirtland | $414K | $408K | -1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480001 | $391K | $468K | +19.6% | |
| Lake (Tract 040001) | $276K | $388K | +40.5% | |
| Lake (Tract 320006) | $98K | $136K | +38.0% | |
| Lake (Tract 000009) | $64K | $88K | +37.8% | |
| Lake (Tract 400007) | $101K | $131K | +30.0% | |
| Perry | $247K | $286K | +15.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480001 | $391K | $468K | $358K | |
| Painesville (Tract 204900) | $229K | $239K | $53K | |
| Eastlake | $215K | $218K | $50K | |
| Painesville (Tract 204400) | $178K | $174K | $43K | |
| Wickliffe | $165K | $167K | $42K | |
| Mentor | $176K | $169K | $40K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
