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Fairfield, OH · ZIP 43130 · Census Tract 39045031500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$192K
Downside (P10)
$169K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$201K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$315K
+64% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +64%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $119K | $119K | $116K | $118K | $120K | $124K | $135K | $164K | $173K | $179K | $192K | $197K | $198K | $201K | $186K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$72,393 | -$72,593 | -$75,493 | -$74,093 | -$72,193 | -$67,593 | -$57,293 | -$27,893 | -$18,893 | -$12,793 | +$4,849 | +$6,689 | +$9,581 | -$6,122 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.7% | -37.8% | -39.4% | -38.6% | -37.6% | -35.2% | -29.9% | -14.5% | -9.9% | -6.7% | +2.5% | +3.5% | +5.0% | -3.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $166K | $169K | $169K | $167K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $243K | $265K | $315K | $214K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$166K to $243K
39.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$167K to $214K
25.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster · 43130 · (Tract 315) | $183K | $201K | +10.0% | |
| Lancaster area | $166K | $186K | +12.4% | |
| Lancaster (Tract 032000) | $166K | $182K | +9.9% | |
| Hocking area | $178K | $193K | +8.4% | |
| Lancaster (Tract 032100) | $186K | $194K | +4.6% | |
| Lancaster (Tract 032200) | $169K | $173K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster · 43130 · (Tract 315) | $183K | $201K | +10.0% | |
| Rush Creek area | $261K | $307K | +17.4% | |
| Amanda | $335K | $385K | +14.8% | |
| Violet | $347K | $399K | +14.7% | |
| Liberty | $386K | $442K | +14.6% | |
| Pickerington | $329K | $375K | +14.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster · 43130 · (Tract 315) | $183K | $201K | $146K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 032100) | $186K | $194K | $100K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 032000) | $166K | $182K | $89K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 032200) | $169K | $173K | $84K | |
| Lancaster area | $166K | $186K | $81K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 031700) | $119K | $126K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Fairfield, OH · ZIP 43130 · Census Tract 39045031500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$192K
Downside (P10)
$169K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$201K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$315K
+64% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +64%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $119K | $119K | $116K | $118K | $120K | $124K | $135K | $164K | $173K | $179K | $192K | $197K | $198K | $201K | $186K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$72,393 | -$72,593 | -$75,493 | -$74,093 | -$72,193 | -$67,593 | -$57,293 | -$27,893 | -$18,893 | -$12,793 | +$4,849 | +$6,689 | +$9,581 | -$6,122 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.7% | -37.8% | -39.4% | -38.6% | -37.6% | -35.2% | -29.9% | -14.5% | -9.9% | -6.7% | +2.5% | +3.5% | +5.0% | -3.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $166K | $169K | $169K | $167K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $243K | $265K | $315K | $214K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$166K to $243K
39.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$167K to $214K
25.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster · 43130 · (Tract 315) | $183K | $201K | +10.0% | |
| Lancaster area | $166K | $186K | +12.4% | |
| Lancaster (Tract 032000) | $166K | $182K | +9.9% | |
| Hocking area | $178K | $193K | +8.4% | |
| Lancaster (Tract 032100) | $186K | $194K | +4.6% | |
| Lancaster (Tract 032200) | $169K | $173K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster · 43130 · (Tract 315) | $183K | $201K | +10.0% | |
| Rush Creek area | $261K | $307K | +17.4% | |
| Amanda | $335K | $385K | +14.8% | |
| Violet | $347K | $399K | +14.7% | |
| Liberty | $386K | $442K | +14.6% | |
| Pickerington | $329K | $375K | +14.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster · 43130 · (Tract 315) | $183K | $201K | $146K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 032100) | $186K | $194K | $100K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 032000) | $166K | $182K | $89K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 032200) | $169K | $173K | $84K | |
| Lancaster area | $166K | $186K | $81K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 031700) | $119K | $126K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
