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Columbus, OH · ZIP 43221 · Census Tract 39049006500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$785K
Downside (P10)
$660K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$812K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.04M
+33% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $494K | $497K | $515K | $573K | $604K | $621K | $644K | $705K | $716K | $787K | $785K | $805K | $819K | $812K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$290,827 | -$287,527 | -$270,027 | -$211,727 | -$181,327 | -$164,127 | -$140,827 | -$79,827 | -$69,327 | +$2,273 | +$20,110 | +$34,126 | +$27,420 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.1% | -36.6% | -34.4% | -27.0% | -23.1% | -20.9% | -17.9% | -10.2% | -8.8% | +0.3% | +2.6% | +4.3% | +3.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $737K | $714K | $660K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $930K | $979K | $1.0M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$737K to $930K
24.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$660K to $1.0M
47.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Arlington · Columbus · (Tract 65) | $784K | $812K | +3.6% | |
| Columbus | $674K | $742K | +10.1% | |
| Upper Arlington (Tract 006600) | $709K | $779K | +9.8% | |
| Plain | $899K | $973K | +8.3% | |
| Upper Arlington (Tract 006340) | $726K | $783K | +7.8% | |
| New Albany | $739K | $792K | +7.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Arlington · Columbus · (Tract 65) | $784K | $812K | +3.6% | |
| Perry area | $376K | $461K | +22.8% | |
| Columbus (Tract 002100) | $500K | $595K | +19.1% | |
| Columbus (Tract 000500) | $376K | $442K | +17.7% | |
| Dublin | $426K | $501K | +17.5% | |
| Columbus (Tract 006394) | $280K | $329K | +17.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Arlington · Columbus · (Tract 65) | $784K | $812K | $384K | |
| Columbus (Tract 000720) | $100K | $109K | $55K | |
| Columbus (Tract 006352) | $124K | $134K | $54K | |
| Columbus (Tract 000710) | $119K | $122K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Columbus, OH · ZIP 43221 · Census Tract 39049006500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$785K
Downside (P10)
$660K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$812K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.04M
+33% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $494K | $497K | $515K | $573K | $604K | $621K | $644K | $705K | $716K | $787K | $785K | $805K | $819K | $812K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$290,827 | -$287,527 | -$270,027 | -$211,727 | -$181,327 | -$164,127 | -$140,827 | -$79,827 | -$69,327 | +$2,273 | +$20,110 | +$34,126 | +$27,420 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.1% | -36.6% | -34.4% | -27.0% | -23.1% | -20.9% | -17.9% | -10.2% | -8.8% | +0.3% | +2.6% | +4.3% | +3.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $737K | $714K | $660K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $930K | $979K | $1.0M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$737K to $930K
24.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$660K to $1.0M
47.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Arlington · Columbus · (Tract 65) | $784K | $812K | +3.6% | |
| Columbus | $674K | $742K | +10.1% | |
| Upper Arlington (Tract 006600) | $709K | $779K | +9.8% | |
| Plain | $899K | $973K | +8.3% | |
| Upper Arlington (Tract 006340) | $726K | $783K | +7.8% | |
| New Albany | $739K | $792K | +7.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Arlington · Columbus · (Tract 65) | $784K | $812K | +3.6% | |
| Perry area | $376K | $461K | +22.8% | |
| Columbus (Tract 002100) | $500K | $595K | +19.1% | |
| Columbus (Tract 000500) | $376K | $442K | +17.7% | |
| Dublin | $426K | $501K | +17.5% | |
| Columbus (Tract 006394) | $280K | $329K | +17.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Arlington · Columbus · (Tract 65) | $784K | $812K | $384K | |
| Columbus (Tract 000720) | $100K | $109K | $55K | |
| Columbus (Tract 006352) | $124K | $134K | $54K | |
| Columbus (Tract 000710) | $119K | $122K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
