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Cincinnati, OH · ZIP 45238 · Census Tract 39061021303 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$216K
Downside (P10)
$168K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$221K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$330K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $151K | $150K | $142K | $143K | $146K | $151K | $159K | $188K | $213K | $210K | $216K | $218K | $218K | $221K | $216K |
| YoY Change | -0.7% | -5.4% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +3.3% | +5.4% | +18.2% | +13.3% | -1.6% | +3.2% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $186K | $176K | $168K | $197K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $271K | $314K | $330K | $243K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$186K to $271K
39.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$197K to $243K
21.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delhi | $215K | $221K | +2.8% | |
| Cincinnati (Tract 010202) | $216K | $250K | +15.9% | |
| Cincinnati (Tract 011100) | $215K | $236K | +9.6% | |
| Delhi | $216K | $236K | +9.1% | |
| Colerain | $215K | $234K | +8.9% | |
| Cincinnati (Tract 006300) | $215K | $231K | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delhi | $215K | $221K | +2.8% | |
| Cincinnati (Tract 004000) | $262K | $310K | +18.1% | |
| Whitewater | $56K | $66K | +18.1% | |
| Cincinnati (Tract 002902) | $176K | $207K | +17.9% | |
| North College Hill | $167K | $197K | +17.6% | |
| Sycamore | $274K | $322K | +17.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delhi | $215K | $221K | $162K | |
| Elmwood Place | $71K | $76K | $51K | |
| Cincinnati (Tract 008601) | $74K | $84K | $51K | |
| Cincinnati (Tract 009800) | $66K | $71K | $33K | |
| Cincinnati (Tract 007700) | $71K | $74K | $31K | |
| Whitewater | $56K | $66K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.