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Butler, OH · ZIP 45069 · Census Tract 39017011109 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$303K
Downside (P10)
$257K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$316K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$429K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $155K | $159K | $166K | $170K | $179K | $205K | $220K | $249K | $261K | $294K | $303K | $309K | $312K | $316K |
| YoY Change | +2.6% | +4.8% | +1.9% | +5.7% | +14.6% | +7.3% | +13.1% | +5.0% | +12.5% | +3.2% | +1.7% | +1.2% | +1.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $252K | $259K | $257K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $353K | $382K | $429K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$252K to $353K
32.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$257K to $429K
54.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Chester | $303K | $316K | +4.3% | |
| West Chester | $305K | $339K | +11.1% | |
| Reily area | $297K | $317K | +6.5% | |
| Milford | $310K | $359K | +16.0% | |
| Hamilton | $310K | $311K | +0.3% | |
| Ross area | $313K | $346K | +10.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Chester | $303K | $316K | +4.3% | |
| Middletown (Tract 013200) | $126K | $148K | +17.6% | |
| Fairfield | $261K | $307K | +17.4% | |
| Milford | $310K | $359K | +16.0% | |
| Liberty | $377K | $434K | +15.1% | |
| Middletown (Tract 012600) | $194K | $222K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Chester | $303K | $316K | $172K | |
| Hamilton (Tract 000300) | $57K | $65K | $35K | |
| Hamilton (Tract 000400) | $80K | $88K | $37K | |
| Middletown (Tract 014400) | $65K | $71K | $38K | |
| Middletown (Tract 012300) | $105K | $112K | $49K | |
| Middletown (Tract 013900) | $93K | $104K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.