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Athens, OH · ZIP 45711 · Census Tract 39009973500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$116K
Downside (P10)
$93K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$118K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$163K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $113K | $109K | $119K | $105K | $104K | $115K | $122K | $103K | $114K | $109K | $116K | $115K | $115K | $118K | $113K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$2,647 | -$7,347 | +$2,853 | -$10,547 | -$12,147 | -$547 | +$6,053 | -$13,247 | -$2,147 | -$7,047 | -$920 | -$1,201 | +$1,820 | -$2,906 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -2.3% | -6.3% | +2.5% | -9.1% | -10.5% | -0.5% | +5.2% | -11.4% | -1.9% | -6.1% | -0.8% | -1.0% | +1.6% | -2.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $98K | $96K | $93K | $101K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $130K | $151K | $163K | $125K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$98K to $130K
27.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$101K to $125K
21.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ames area | $112K | $118K | +5.2% | |
| Athens | $118K | $126K | +7.2% | |
| Trimble | $93K | $99K | +6.9% | |
| Dover area | $97K | $102K | +4.5% | |
| York | $165K | $172K | +4.3% | |
| Lodi area | $167K | $173K | +3.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ames area | $112K | $118K | +5.2% | |
| Athens (Tract 973000) | $265K | $315K | +19.0% | |
| Athens (Tract 973902) | $199K | $223K | +12.0% | |
| Athens area | $224K | $246K | +10.0% | |
| Troy area | $167K | $184K | +9.8% | |
| Dover area | $219K | $240K | +9.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ames area | $112K | $118K | $70K | |
| Troy area | $167K | $184K | $89K | |
| Lodi area | $167K | $173K | $78K | |
| Athens | $118K | $126K | $65K | |
| Trimble | $93K | $99K | $56K | |
| Dover area | $97K | $102K | $51K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Athens, OH · ZIP 45711 · Census Tract 39009973500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$116K
Downside (P10)
$93K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$118K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$163K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $113K | $109K | $119K | $105K | $104K | $115K | $122K | $103K | $114K | $109K | $116K | $115K | $115K | $118K | $113K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$2,647 | -$7,347 | +$2,853 | -$10,547 | -$12,147 | -$547 | +$6,053 | -$13,247 | -$2,147 | -$7,047 | -$920 | -$1,201 | +$1,820 | -$2,906 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -2.3% | -6.3% | +2.5% | -9.1% | -10.5% | -0.5% | +5.2% | -11.4% | -1.9% | -6.1% | -0.8% | -1.0% | +1.6% | -2.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $98K | $96K | $93K | $101K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $130K | $151K | $163K | $125K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$98K to $130K
27.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$101K to $125K
21.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ames area | $112K | $118K | +5.2% | |
| Athens | $118K | $126K | +7.2% | |
| Trimble | $93K | $99K | +6.9% | |
| Dover area | $97K | $102K | +4.5% | |
| York | $165K | $172K | +4.3% | |
| Lodi area | $167K | $173K | +3.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ames area | $112K | $118K | +5.2% | |
| Athens (Tract 973000) | $265K | $315K | +19.0% | |
| Athens (Tract 973902) | $199K | $223K | +12.0% | |
| Athens area | $224K | $246K | +10.0% | |
| Troy area | $167K | $184K | +9.8% | |
| Dover area | $219K | $240K | +9.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ames area | $112K | $118K | $70K | |
| Troy area | $167K | $184K | $89K | |
| Lodi area | $167K | $173K | $78K | |
| Athens | $118K | $126K | $65K | |
| Trimble | $93K | $99K | $56K | |
| Dover area | $97K | $102K | $51K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
