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Ashland, OH · ZIP 44840 · Census Tract 39005970900 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$240K
Downside (P10)
$195K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$242K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$379K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $141K | $141K | $140K | $156K | $159K | $160K | $169K | $203K | $202K | $232K | $240K | $244K | $235K | $242K |
| YoY Change | +0.0% | -0.8% | +11.6% | +1.3% | +1.1% | +5.3% | +20.3% | -0.4% | +14.9% | +3.2% | +1.6% | -3.7% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $214K | $212K | $195K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $308K | $319K | $379K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$214K to $308K
38.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$195K to $379K
75.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohican area | $242K | $242K | +0.4% | |
| Sullivan | $235K | $263K | +11.8% | |
| Montgomery area | $228K | $247K | +8.4% | |
| Clear Creek area | $213K | $236K | +10.8% | |
| Jackson area | $202K | $209K | +3.6% | |
| Hanover | $191K | $206K | +8.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohican area | $242K | $242K | +0.4% | |
| Montgomery (Tract 970800) | $174K | $203K | +16.1% | |
| Ashland | $153K | $172K | +12.0% | |
| Sullivan | $235K | $263K | +11.8% | |
| Clear Creek area | $213K | $236K | +10.8% | |
| Montgomery (Tract 970400) | $100K | $109K | +9.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohican area | $242K | $242K | $183K | |
| Montgomery (Tract 970400) | $100K | $109K | $47K | |
| Milton (Tract 970300) | $133K | $142K | $82K | |
| Hanover | $191K | $206K | $103K | |
| Montgomery (Tract 970800) | $174K | $203K | $106K | |
| Milton (Tract 970600) | $175K | $189K | $107K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.