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Yates, NY · Census Tract 36123680009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$432K
Downside (P10)
$428K
-1% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$626K
+45% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$990K
+129% by 2030
Base case: +45% by 2030, with a forecast range from -1% to +129%. The model forecasts this with 51% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $432K | $512K | $530K | $572K | $626K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$79,620 | +$97,772 | +$139,401 | +$193,675 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +18.4% | +22.6% | +32.2% | +44.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $396K | $400K | $397K | $428K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $654K | $754K | $839K | $990K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$396K to $654K
50.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$428K to $990K
89.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680009 | $432K | $626K | +44.8% | |
| Yates (Tract 880003) | $459K | $665K | +44.7% | |
| Yates (Tract 840001) | $551K | $719K | +30.5% | |
| Barrington | $282K | $315K | +11.9% | |
| Jerusalem | $370K | $395K | +6.5% | |
| Torrey area | $341K | $346K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680009 | $432K | $626K | +44.8% | |
| Yates (Tract 880003) | $459K | $665K | +44.7% | |
| Yates (Tract 840001) | $551K | $719K | +30.5% | |
| Barrington | $282K | $315K | +11.9% | |
| Jerusalem | $370K | $395K | +6.5% | |
| Milo | $174K | $184K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680009 | $432K | $626K | $563K | |
| Starkey | $146K | $149K | $104K | |
| Middlesex area | $169K | $177K | $98K | |
| Milo | $174K | $184K | $82K | |
| Benton | $163K | $163K | $78K | |
| Torrey area | $341K | $346K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Yates, NY · Census Tract 36123680009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$432K
Downside (P10)
$428K
-1% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$626K
+45% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$990K
+129% by 2030
Base case: +45% by 2030, with a forecast range from -1% to +129%. The model forecasts this with 51% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $432K | $512K | $530K | $572K | $626K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$79,620 | +$97,772 | +$139,401 | +$193,675 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +18.4% | +22.6% | +32.2% | +44.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $396K | $400K | $397K | $428K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $654K | $754K | $839K | $990K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$396K to $654K
50.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$428K to $990K
89.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680009 | $432K | $626K | +44.8% | |
| Yates (Tract 880003) | $459K | $665K | +44.7% | |
| Yates (Tract 840001) | $551K | $719K | +30.5% | |
| Barrington | $282K | $315K | +11.9% | |
| Jerusalem | $370K | $395K | +6.5% | |
| Torrey area | $341K | $346K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680009 | $432K | $626K | +44.8% | |
| Yates (Tract 880003) | $459K | $665K | +44.7% | |
| Yates (Tract 840001) | $551K | $719K | +30.5% | |
| Barrington | $282K | $315K | +11.9% | |
| Jerusalem | $370K | $395K | +6.5% | |
| Milo | $174K | $184K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680009 | $432K | $626K | $563K | |
| Starkey | $146K | $149K | $104K | |
| Middlesex area | $169K | $177K | $98K | |
| Milo | $174K | $184K | $82K | |
| Benton | $163K | $163K | $78K | |
| Torrey area | $341K | $346K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
